Rich Hribar#24 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 16, 2026
Hribar expects Tua Tagovailoa to be Atlanta's starting quarterback for Week 2 while Michael Penix stays out, with Penix's return closer to Week 4. They are unenthusiastic about the Falcons' offense either way and treats Bryce Young as a fringe fantasy starter.
Published in writing · Sharp Football AnalysisRead the original
What Rich Hribar said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromIt is unlikely we will see Michael Penix this week, with his return timetable closer to Week 4 based on the latest reports.
- Where it was published
- Sharp Football Analysis
- The piece
- Panthers vs. Falcons Fantasy Football Worksheet, Week 2
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 16
- PlayedSep 20
- GradedSep 21
- 1Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart“Right now, Tua Tagovailoa is at the top of the depth chart for Week 2, but we will have to track his status throughout the week.”
- 2Availability Calls“Both of those games had Michael Penix on the other side, who will not play in this game. ... It is unlikely we will see Michael Penix this week, with his return timetable closer to Week 4 based on the latest reports. (Week 2)”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart1 | Depth Chart Calls | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| “Both of those games had Michael Penix on the other side, who…”2 | Availability Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 2 calls · 1 miss · 1 waiting | 0 | 0 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive2 checkable claims — 1 availability call and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Depth Chart CallsTua TagovailoaAtlanta Falcons
Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.94difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- ATL
- week:
- 2
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Tua Tagovailoa
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he starts
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- reported:
- he did not play that week
- naive slot:
- 1
- settled by:
- weekly snap counts (he took no snap in the game)
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- the naive guess:
- he keeps the job he had last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
2Availability CallsMichael Penix Jr.Atlanta Falcons
“Both of those games had Michael Penix on the other side, who will not play in this game. ... It is unlikely we will see Michael Penix this week, with his return timetable closer to Week 4 based on the latest reports. (Week 2)”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
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