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Writes at The Megyn Kelly Show
Across 2 graded calls in 1 article, Rich Lowry scores 50% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 0, which means their calls were no better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are election pundits overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 2 calls · one square per call
1hits50% of graded
1misses50%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
2 graded calls in 1 article, newest first.
“I think she's probably gonna win this year... I think she'll probably pull it out, but the polling is neck and neck.”
The same 21, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Rich Lowry isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
“He's gonna win a pretty big victory in November, and he's a pretty good communicator”