Loading…
Loading…
Writes at The Megyn Kelly Show
Across 4 graded calls in 1 article, Robert Cahaly scores 43.33% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -46.29, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are election pundits overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 4 calls · one square per call
1hits25% of graded
1Close25%
2misses50%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
4 graded calls in 1 article, newest first.
The same 21, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Robert Cahaly isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
“I would expect the Republicans to win, north of 25, maybe 30, house seat pickup”
“At least win the senate with 51 and a Georgia runoff, they could get them 52 or better.”
“the Republicans to win the senate with at at least... At least win the senate with 51”
“So, again, I don't see Mastriano at this point winning, but I think he's gonna close a lot of shock people.”