Seth Walder Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take, page 2

MissedTakes

Play “Picks”

Houston Texans 27 — Cowboys 26
“Walder's pick: Texans 27, Cowboys 26”
Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 42.86+0 skill
How this was scored
score:
34-30
skill:
0
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
42.86
baseline:
42.86
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
1
Closing line (Oct 4): Texans by 3, total 48.5 · this 27–26 calls a closer game (Texans by 1) and more points (53).
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions 34 — Panthers 14
“Walder's pick: Lions 34, Panthers 14”
Miss · 17Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 88.1-130.71 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-32
skill:
−130.71
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
16.67
baseline:
88.1
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
20
Closing line (Oct 4): Lions by 4.5, total 52.5 · this 34–14 calls a bigger Lions win (by 20) and fewer points (48).
Think this grade is wrong?
Buffalo Bills 24 — Patriots 20
“Walder's pick: Bills 24, Patriots 20”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 45.24+4.36 skill
How this was scored
score:
29-26
skill:
4.36
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
45.24
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Oct 4): Bills by 7, total 49.5 · this 24–20 calls a closer game (Bills by 4) and fewer points (44).
Think this grade is wrong?
Miami Dolphins 20 — Vikings 17
“Walder's pick: Dolphins 20, Vikings 17”
Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 90.48-82.79 skill
How this was scored
score:
10-15
skill:
−82.79
they picked:
MIA
season:
2026
accuracy:
45.24
baseline:
90.48
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
5
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 4): Vikings by 10, total 38.5 · this 20–17 calls a Dolphins win (by 3; the line gave the Dolphins about 1 in 5 (19%)) and fewer points (37).
Think this grade is wrong?
Las Vegas Raiders 24 — Chiefs 22
“Walder's pick: Raiders 24, Chiefs 22”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 45.24+4.36 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-27
skill:
4.36
they picked:
LV
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
45.24
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
2
Closing line (Oct 4): Chiefs by 4.5, total 47.5 · this 24–22 calls a Raiders win (by 2; the line gave the Raiders about 1 in 3 (34%)) and fewer points (46).
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals 27 — Jaguars 24
“Walder's pick: Bengals 27, Jaguars 24”
Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 40.48+8.71 skill
How this was scored
score:
22-17
skill:
8.71
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
45.24
baseline:
40.48
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
5
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 4): Bengals by 2.5, total 51.5 · this 27–24 calls a bigger Bengals win (by 3) and fewer points (51).
Think this grade is wrong?
Miami Dolphins to beat Vikings
“Bold prediction: The Dolphins will win the game. ... Miami is a huge long shot, but I wonder if a super run-heavy approach ... could earn the Dolphins a victory.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skill
How this was scored
won:
MIN
score:
10-15
skill:
−183
they picked:
MIA
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
MIN
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
Closing line (Oct 4): Vikings by 10 · underdog pick, Dolphins about 1 in 5 (19%).
Think this grade is wrong?
New Orleans Saints 19 — Falcons 16
“Walder's pick: Saints 19, Falcons 16”
Miss · 7Scored 7.14a naive guess scored 1.56+10.21 skill
How this was scored
score:
45-24
skill:
10.21
they picked:
NO
season:
2026
accuracy:
7.14
baseline:
1.56
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
21
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
0.66
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 5): Saints by 1.5, total 47.5 · this 19–16 calls a bigger Saints win (by 3) and fewer points (35).
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens 34 — Titans 20
“Walder's pick: Ravens 34, Titans 20”
Hit · 81Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 88.1-13.07 skill
How this was scored
score:
18-24
skill:
−13.07
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
80.95
baseline:
88.1
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
14
Closing line (Oct 4): Ravens by 11.5, total 42.5 · this 34–20 calls a bigger Ravens win (by 14) and more points (54).
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks 26 — Chargers 23
“Walder's pick: Seahawks 26, Chargers 23”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 85.71+8.71 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-30
skill:
8.71
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
85.71
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 4): Seahawks by 7, total 42.5 · this 26–23 calls a closer game (Seahawks by 3) and more points (49).
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers 26 — Broncos 20
“Walder's pick: 49ers 26, Broncos 20”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 78.57+21.79 skill
How this was scored
score:
14-24
skill:
21.79
they picked:
SF
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
78.57
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
10
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
6
Closing line (Oct 4): 49ers by 3, total 48.5 · this 26–20 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 6) and fewer points (46).
Think this grade is wrong?
Arizona Cardinals 29 — Giants 6
“Walder's pick: Cardinals 29, Giants 6”
Miss · 24Scored 23.81a naive guess scored 73.81-91.5 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-36
skill:
−91.5
they picked:
ARI
season:
2026
accuracy:
23.81
baseline:
73.81
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
12
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
23
Closing line (Oct 4): Cardinals by 2.5, total 44.5 · this 29–6 calls a bigger Cardinals win (by 23) and fewer points (35).
Think this grade is wrong?
Indianapolis Colts 23 — Commanders 19
“Walder's pick: Colts 23, Commanders 19”
Close · 69Scored 69.05a naive guess scored 10.86+106.49 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-13
skill:
106.49
they picked:
IND
season:
2026
accuracy:
69.05
baseline:
10.86
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
17
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
0.56
predicted margin:
4
Closing line (Oct 4): Colts by 4.5, total 46.5 · this 23–19 calls a closer game (Colts by 4) and fewer points (42).
Think this grade is wrong?
Chicago Bears 30 — Jets 27
“Walder's pick: Bears 30, Jets 27”
Hit · 81Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 76.19+8.71 skill
How this was scored
score:
12-23
skill:
8.71
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
80.95
baseline:
76.19
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
11
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 4): Bears by 3.5, total 43.5 · this 30–27 calls a closer game (Bears by 3) and more points (57).
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams 27 — Eagles 14
“Walder's pick: Rams 27, Eagles 14”
Close · 79Scored 78.57a naive guess scored 42.86+65.36 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-20
skill:
65.36
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
78.57
baseline:
42.86
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
13
Closing line (Oct 4): Rams by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 27–14 calls a bigger Rams win (by 13) and fewer points (41).
Think this grade is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23 — Packers 20
“Walder's pick: Buccaneers 23, Packers 20”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 45.24+8.71 skill
How this was scored
score:
17-14
skill:
8.71
they picked:
TB
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
45.24
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
15
naive home margin:
1
predicted margin:
3
Closing line (Oct 4): Packers by 3, total 38.5 · this 23–20 calls a Buccaneers win (by 3; the line gave the Buccaneers 42%) and more points (43).
Think this grade is wrong?

Seth Walder

Every graded call, continued · page 2