Tom Jensen

Every take from Tom Jensen, including the ones still waiting →

Is Tom Jensen accurate? Across 13 graded calls in 2 articles, Tom Jensen scores 15% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -150, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

15%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

-150

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

13

Graded calls

across 2 articles. 33 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 13

Jensen projects the 49ers' final 53-man roster ahead of the August 30 cutdown, naming a long list of players he expects to be released outright, another group he expects to be cut and return on the practice squad ("boomerang cuts"), and three borderline players (Jordan James, Jacob Cowing, James Thompson Jr.) he believes San Francisco will keep.10 graded calls · Aug 21, 2026
- Brayden Willis to make the roster
  “TE: Brayden Willis, Hayden Rucci”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  SF
  skill:
  -200
  player:
  Brayden Willis
  season:
  2026
  claimed:
  he does not make the 53
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:

he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again

weeks in the season:

18

weeks on the53:

2

weeks left when called:

18

first week on the53:

2

weeks on the practice squad:

1

Think this grade is wrong?

Ashtyn Davis to make the roster

“S Ashtyn Davis”

Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill

How this was scored

club:: SF
skill:: -200
player:: Ashtyn Davis
season:: 2026
claimed:: he lands on the practice squad
accuracy:: 0
baseline:: 100
difficulty:: 2
the naive guess:: he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:: 18
weeks on the53:: 3
weeks left when called:: 18
first week on the53:: 1
weeks on the practice squad:: 0

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Jacob Cowing to make the roster

“WR Jacob Cowing – He would have been a boomerang cut, but then the punt return touchdown against the Chargers. Supply and demand for punt returners is so dire Cowing would be at risk of being picked up.”

Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill

How this was scored

club:: SF
skill:: 200
player:: Jacob Cowing
season:: 2026
claimed:: he makes the 53
accuracy:: 100
baseline:: 0
difficulty:: 2
the naive guess:: he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:: 18
weeks on the53:: 3
weeks left when called:: 18
first week on the53:: 1
weeks on the practice squad:: 0

Think this grade is wrong?

Luke Farrell to make the roster

“TE Luke Farrell, Josiah Deguera”

Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill

How this was scored

club:: SF
skill:: -200
player:: Luke Farrell
season:: 2026
claimed:: he lands on the practice squad
accuracy:: 0
baseline:: 100
difficulty:: 2
the naive guess:: he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:: 18
weeks on the53:: 3
weeks left when called:: 18
first week on the53:: 1
weeks on the practice squad:: 0

Think this grade is wrong?

KhaDarel Hodge to make the roster

“WR KhaDarel Hodge, Will Pauling”

Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill

How this was scored

club:: SF
skill:: -200
player:: KhaDarel Hodge
season:: 2026
claimed:: he lands on the practice squad
accuracy:: 0
baseline:: 100
difficulty:: 2
the naive guess:: he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:: 18
weeks on the53:: 3
weeks left when called:: 18
first week on the53:: 1
weeks on the practice squad:: 0

Think this grade is wrong?

Sebastian Valdez to make the roster

“DL Quinton Bell, Bryson Eason, Sebastian Valdez”

Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill

How this was scored

club:: SF
skill:: -200
player:: Sebastian Valdez
season:: 2026
claimed:: he lands on the practice squad
accuracy:: 0
baseline:: 100
difficulty:: 2
the naive guess:: he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:: 18
weeks on the53:: 1
weeks left when called:: 18
first week on the53:: 3
weeks on the practice squad:: 2

Think this grade is wrong?

Luke Gifford to make the roster

“LB Luke Gifford, Jalen Graham”

Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill

How this was scored

club:: SF
skill:: -200
player:: Luke Gifford
season:: 2026
claimed:: he does not make the 53
accuracy:: 0
baseline:: 100
difficulty:: 2
the naive guess:: he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:: 18
weeks on the53:: 3
weeks left when called:: 18
first week on the53:: 1
weeks on the practice squad:: 0

Think this grade is wrong?

Siran Neal to make the roster

“S: Patrick McMorris, Jalen Stroman, Siran Neal”

Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill

How this was scored

club:: SF
skill:: -200
player:: Siran Neal
season:: 2026
claimed:: he does not make the 53
accuracy:: 0
baseline:: 100
difficulty:: 2
the naive guess:: he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:: 18
weeks on the53:: 3
weeks left when called:: 18
first week on the53:: 1
weeks on the practice squad:: 0

Think this grade is wrong?

James Thompson to make the roster

“DT James Thompson Jr. – Has shown enough to keep him, cutting him would be a risk.”

Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill

How this was scored

club:: SF
skill:: 200
player:: James Thompson
season:: 2026
claimed:: he makes the 53
accuracy:: 100
baseline:: 0
difficulty:: 2
the naive guess:: he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:: 18
weeks on the53:: 3
weeks left when called:: 18
first week on the53:: 1
weeks on the practice squad:: 0

Think this grade is wrong?

Jordan James to make the roster

“RB Jordan James – My thinking is if he was cut he would be picked up, so the 49ers choose to keep him.”

Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill

How this was scored

club:: SF
skill:: 0
player:: Jordan James
season:: 2026
claimed:: he makes the 53
accuracy:: 100
baseline:: 100
difficulty:: 2
the naive guess:: he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:: 18
weeks on the53:: 3
weeks left when called:: 18
first week on the53:: 1
weeks on the practice squad:: 0

Think this grade is wrong?

NFL.com published a list of players it expects to be released by cutdown day, headlined by tight ends Dawson Knox, T.J. Hockenson and Cole Kmet.3 graded calls · Aug 15, 2026

Dawson Knox to make the roster
“This week nfl.com listed players they think will be let go by cutdown day. The best talent is at tight end including Dawson Knox of Buffalo”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
club:
BUF
skill:
-200
player:
Dawson Knox
season:
2026
claimed:
he does not make the 53
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
T.J. Hockenson to make the roster
“players they think will be let go by cutdown day ... T.J. Hockenson of Minnesota”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
club:
MIN
skill:
-200
player:
T.J. Hockenson
season:
2026
claimed:
he does not make the 53
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Cole Kmet to make the roster
“players they think will be let go by cutdown day ... and Chicago's Cole Kmet”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
club:
CHI
skill:
-200
player:
Cole Kmet
season:
2026
claimed:
he does not make the 53
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this grade is wrong?