Dylan O'Brien· Sep 3, 2025
Playing the win-loss game for the 2025 Jets, O'Brien went game by game through the schedule and landed on an 11-6 season, opening 0-2 before a long late-season winning streak.
“Eleven and six.”
said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →
18 checkable claims — 17 game outcome picks and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 18 have settled, averaging 38.9 out of 100, against 56.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
18 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsSep 3, 2025
New England Patriots to beat Jets
“since we're in New England, I gotta give us two l's in a row here for New England and Baltimore”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 14-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksNew York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to beat Patriots
“Now you're home for the Patriots... I took that loss in New England, so let's give us the win”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 14-27
- skill:
- -200
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksNew York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to beat Miami
“Monday night in Miami... Let's just go, I think we gotta even it up... Two and two. Let's go two and two.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- MIA
- score:
- 21-27
- skill:
- -200
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- MIA
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksNew York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to beat Bills
“Five wins in a row at the Bills... We go to Western New York, and we take it from the Bills. Six wins in a row.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 30-10
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NYJ
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsSep 3, 2025
Buffalo Bills to beat Jets
“O and one would be a problem because the Bills strolling the next week. No. No. No. No. I I'm starting to own to okay.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 30-10
- skill:
- 200
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NYJ
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksNew York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to beat Dolphins
“Home for the Dolphins. Miami... I think at this point, Miami's a mess and we, we win. Seven and six”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- MIA
- score:
- 21-27
- skill:
- -200
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- MIA
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksNew York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to beat Cowboys
“I have us beaten the Cowboys... It's now three and two.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DAL
- score:
- 37-22
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NYJ
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh SteelersSep 3, 2025
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Jets
“as much as I want to give us the w here because, I just know how it goes for the Jets in these situations... O and one's I'm gonna start there.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 34-32
- skill:
- 200
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NYJ
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsNew York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to finish with 11 wins
“Eleven and six since Dylan O'Brien.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 25-50 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NYJ
- naive:
- 6.75
- skill:
- -50
- what happened:
- 3
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 25
- predicted:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksNew York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to beat Browns
“Home for the Browns. Gotta beat the Browns. It's five and four”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NYJ
- score:
- 20-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NYJ
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosSep 3, 2025
Denver Broncos to beat Jets
“going into London to take on the Broncos... I gotta give us the l here. Okay. Three and three”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 13-11
- skill:
- 200
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NYJ
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksCincinnati BengalsSep 3, 2025
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Jets
“Four and three at the Bengals. This is a this is a this is a loss for us. Four and four”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NYJ
- score:
- 39-38
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- CIN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- CIN
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksNew York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to beat New Orleans
“Beat New Orleans. That's four wins in a row.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NO
- score:
- 6-29
- skill:
- -200
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NO
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksNew York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to beat Jacksonville
“Yeah. Yeah. We beat Jacksonville.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- JAX
- score:
- 20-48
- skill:
- -200
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- JAX
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksNew York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to beat Falcons
“We're gonna surprise beat the Falcons. Six and six.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NYJ
- score:
- 24-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NYJ
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksBaltimore RavensSep 3, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to beat Jets
“I gotta give us two l's in a row here for New England and Baltimore. Okay. Five and five and five and six.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BAL
- score:
- 10-23
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksNew York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to beat Tampa
“so we're in Tampa... I have us penciled in for a surprise w.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- TB
- score:
- 27-29
- skill:
- -200
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksNew York JetsSep 3, 2025
New York Jets to beat Panthers
“home for the Panthers. We gotta beat the Panthers. Four and three”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CAR
- score:
- 13-6
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NYJ
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensHit · 98Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.
- Matt HarmonGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsHit · 100Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Matt HarmonGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.