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Caesar RuizJun 26, 2025

Ruiz said the Commanders' offense would land in the top-five to top-10 range rather than top three, and picked Joe Flacco as Cleveland's quarterback if they had to choose now.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100

No. 1What happenedcalled No. 1 · by passing yards

91.67A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

100This callout of 100

+16.67Skillafter difficulty

What Caesar Ruiz said

I think top three, no, but I think gearing in between that top five top ten range for sure.

Our reading: Joe Flacco to be 1st on the depth chart

Where it was said: Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode: GMFB Thursday Hour 2: Will Commanders have top-3 offense? Browns QB1?
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidJun 26, 2025
GradedAug 5, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 91.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

1They said

1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Depth Chart Calls Joe Flacco Cleveland Browns
Joe Flacco to be 1st on the depth chart
What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
100Hit · naive 91.67
100this call91.67a naive guess8.33better than naive2difficulty+16.67skill
How this was scored
club:
CIN
skill:
16.67
player:
Joe Flacco
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

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