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Mitchell Eisenstein· Nov 4, 2026

Mitchell gave his Week 9 top-five power rankings, keeping Buffalo first and the 49ers second while elevating the Bears, Jaguars and Lions, and picked a slate of Week 9 games including a Packers win in New England, a Panthers upset of Denver, and blowouts for Detroit, Kansas City and Houston. He also tabbed Jonah Coleman as a late-season Offensive Rookie of the Year pick.

“Give me the Packers on the road to knock off New England by 3, 27-24.”

said on air or in an interview · The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast) · read the original →

11 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks, 4 score predictions, 1 award pick and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

8 of 11 have settled so far, averaging 71.4 out of 100, against 34.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

11 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Score PredictionsGreen Bay PackersNov 4, 2026

    Green Bay Packers 27 — New England 24

    “Give me the Packers on the road to knock off New England by 3, 27-24.”

    Close · 64Scored 64.29a naive guess scored 7.44+88.68 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    45-27
    skill:
    88.68
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    64.29
    baseline:
    7.44
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3, total 44.5 · this 27–24 calls a Packers win (by 3; the line gave the Packers 38%) and more points (51).

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  • Score PredictionsHouston TexansNov 4, 2026

    Houston Texans 27 — LA Chargers 13

    “Give me the Texans as well. I expect them to dominate this game. I'm going to go Let's go 27-13.”

    Hit · 81Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 0+126.29 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    44-22
    skill:
    126.29
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    80.95
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    14

    Closing line (Nov 8): Texans by 5.5, total 40.5 · this 27–13 calls a bigger Texans win (by 14) and fewer points (40).

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  • Game Outcome PicksNew York GiantsNov 4, 2026

    New York Giants to beat Philadelphia Eagles

    “I stand with you, the New York Giants... I like this Giants team to win this game”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NYG
    score:
    19-11
    skill:
    156
    they picked:
    NYG
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Giants by 3 · favorite pick, Giants 59%.

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  • Score PredictionsCarolina PanthersNov 4, 2026

    Carolina Panthers 22 — Denver Broncos 20

    “I'm calling the upset here. Carolina... 22-20 Carolina upset of the week”

    Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 38.44+6.89 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    26-21
    skill:
    6.89
    they picked:
    CAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    42.86
    baseline:
    38.44
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    2

    Closing line (Nov 8): Broncos by 3, total 44.5 · this 22–20 calls a Panthers win (by 2; the line gave the Panthers 42%) and fewer points (42).

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  • Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 4, 2026

    Kansas City Chiefs to beat New York Jets

    “Kansas City is going to roll in this one... Give me Kansas City as well.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    12-35
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Chiefs by 9.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 4 in 5 (80%).

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  • Game Outcome PicksCleveland BrownsNov 4, 2026

    Cleveland Browns to beat New Orleans Saints

    “Every time I pick the Saints, Richard, I feel like I lose. So I'm going with Cleveland in this one.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-156 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NO
    score:
    22-23
    skill:
    −156
    they picked:
    CLE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NO
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Saints by 4.5 · underdog pick, Browns about 1 in 3 (34%).

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  • Score PredictionsDetroit LionsNov 4, 2026

    Detroit Lions 31 — Miami 14

    “I think the Lions roll in this one. Give me the Lions 31-14 in Miami.”

    Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 26.54+88.6 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    19-9
    skill:
    88.6
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    26.54
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    17

    Closing line (Nov 8): Lions by 6.5, total 49.5 · this 31–14 calls a bigger Lions win (by 17) and fewer points (45).

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  • Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysNov 4, 2026

    Dallas Cowboys to beat Indianapolis Colts

    “Okay, low-scoring Cowboys. I'll join you with the Cowboys.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    27-23
    skill:
    156
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    IND
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Cowboys by 4.5 · favorite pick, Cowboys about 2 in 3 (66%).

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  • Award PicksJonah ColemanNov 4, 2026

    Jonah Coleman to win Offensive Rookie of the Year

    “Give me Jonah Coleman as the dark horse back end of the season winner of this Offensive Rookie of the Year.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Power RankingsNov 4, 2026

    “The Buffalo Bills, with the win over the Baltimore Ravens, stay at one. The 49ers, on a bye, they stay at two... Chicago is at three. At four... the Jacksonville Jaguars... I am putting them [Detroit Lions] at five”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsNov 4, 2026

    Buffalo Bills to beat Minnesota Vikings

    “I expect them to lose this one as well, Richard, at home against the Buffalo Bills.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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