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Tom Pelissero#5 of 87 NFL pundits · May 30, 2025

Pelissero says it wouldn't shock them if Shedeur Sanders is part of an open quarterback competition in Cleveland heading into training camp, expects Cam Ward to be the Titans' starter by the preseason, and suggests that if Aaron Rodgers plays poorly the Steelers could hold a top-15 pick in the 2026 draft and target a quarterback.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 close call · all settled
92.4Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
56.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#5Tom Pelissero’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Tom Pelissero said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
But it would not shock me at all if we're talking about this Romanian open competition with Shidoor Sanders as a part of it as we, you know, get up towards training camp.
Tom Pelissero, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
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The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidMay 30, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13–Sep 18, 2026
  1. 1Aaron Rodgers to move to Pittsburgh Steelers“So this is either assuming that Aaron Rodgers comes, which we can feel very strongly about it.”
  2. 2Pittsburgh Steelers to pick “a top 15 type of pick” (picks 1–15)“then the Steelers become a team to watch in the twenty twenty six six draft because you could be talking about ... you might have a top 15 type of pick.”
  3. 3Cam Ward to be 1st on the depth chart“And every expectation is that, you know, by the time we get into the pre season, that certainly he's gonna be that guy.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Aaron Rodgers to move to Pittsburgh Steelers1Trade and Signing CallsEnded up with PIT1000+200
Pittsburgh Steelers to pick “a top 15 type of pick” (picks 1–15)2Team Draft Slot CallsPicked at 2177.1177.110
Cam Ward to be 1st on the depth chart3Depth Chart CallsNo. 110091.67+16.67
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · all settled92.456.3

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call, 1 team draft slot call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 92.4 out of 100, against 56.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsAaron RodgersPittsburgh Steelers

    Aaron Rodgers to move to Pittsburgh Steelers

    What happenedEnded up with PITcalled PIT
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Aaron Rodgers
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    PIT
    was with:
    NYJ
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    PIT
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Team Draft Slot CallsPittsburgh Steelers

    Pittsburgh Steelers to pick “a top 15 type of pick” (picks 1–15)

    What happenedPicked at 21
    77.11Close · naive 77.11
    77.11this call77.11a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    PIT
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    they picked 21 the year before
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    77.11
    actual pick:
    21
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted pick:
    a top 15 type of pick (picks 1–15)
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Depth Chart CallsCam WardTennessee Titans

    Cam Ward to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
    100Hit · naive 91.67
    100this call91.67a naive guess8.33better than naive2difficulty+16.67skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    TEN
    skill:
    16.67
    player:
    Cam Ward
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    92.4naive 56.3

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.