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John Breech#34 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 24, 2026

The unsigned newsletter author says Deshaun Watson will start Week 1 at Jacksonville, notes they voted for Jaxson Dart as their breakout QB rather than Caleb Williams, and says newly signed Daniel Carlson is the favorite to win the Saints' kicking job.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 1 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#34John Breech’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What John Breech said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I voted for Jaxson Dart as my breakout QB.
John Breech, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Breaking down Browns' bizarre decision to start Deshaun Watson, plus our 2026 NFL All-Breakout team
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidAug 24
  2. PlayedSep 13
  3. GradedSep 18
  1. 1Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart“This means Watson will be the starting quarterback in Week 1 when the Browns travel to Jacksonville to face the Jaguars”
  2. 2Daniel Carlson to be 1st on the depth chart“The former All-Pro kicker instantly becomes the favorite to win the job”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart1Depth Chart Calls—1000+200
Daniel Carlson to be 1st on the depth chart2Depth Chart Calls————
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting1000

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Depth Chart CallsDeshaun WatsonCleveland Browns

    Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CLE
    week:
    1
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Deshaun Watson
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he starts
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    QB
    reported:
    named the starter
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Depth Chart CallsDaniel CarlsonNew Orleans Saints

    Daniel Carlson to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.