Kevin Wildes· Oct 1, 2026
Wildes called for two upsets in Week 4: the Chargers beating the Seahawks and his Patriots beating the Bills outright.
“Chargers beat the Seahawks straight up, and I will add to Greg's pick Patriots over Bills straight up.”
said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast) · read the original →
2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Patriots at Bills 36 calls
- Chargers at Seahawks 26 calls
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles ChargersOct 1, 2026
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Seahawks
“Chargers beat the Seahawks straight up”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SEA
- score:
- 23-30
- skill:
- −183
- they picked:
- LAC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsOct 1, 2026
New England Patriots to beat Bills
“I will add to Greg's pick Patriots over Bills straight up.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+183 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 29-26
- skill:
- 183
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
What others said about the same people
- Greg JenningsGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Jennings picked the Patriots to hand the Bills their first loss as his upset alert, and in the chips-on-the-table segment took the Bengals over the Jaguars, the Jets over the Bears and the Broncos over the 49ers.
- Mark WahlbergGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Wahlberg went game-by-game through the Patriots' schedule and predicted a 14-3 season, with losses only at Buffalo, to the Lions in Germany, and at Kansas City.
- Ethan HurwitzRoster Spot Calls · Kindle VildorHit · 100Hurwitz gives his latest 53-man roster projection for the Patriots after the preseason opener, naming who makes the team at each position and slotting rookie Jam Miller as RB3, Karon Prunty as CB4 and Kindle Vildor as CB5.
- Danny ParkinsMock Draft Picks · Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenMiss · 31Danny Parkins presented his one-and-only 2026 mock draft, including trades: Mendoza at 1 to the Raiders, David Bailey second to the Jets, the Cowboys trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Bears trading up to 16 for Kadyn Proctor, and Ty Simpson going to Arizona at 32 at the end of round one.
- Nick WrightMock Draft Picks · Cashius HowellClose · 65Nick Wright unveiled his full 32-pick 2026 NFL mock draft 4.0, starting with Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1 and ending with Avion Terrell to the Seahawks at 32. He also called Carnell Tate the best/safest receiver in the class, projected Ty Simpson inside the top 45, said Mendoza profiles as a low-end top-15 NFL quarterback, and expected the Dolphins to lose 15 games.
- David HarrisonMock Draft Picks · Avieon TerrellMiss · 32Harrison delivers his only first-round mock draft for the 2026 NFL Draft, projecting all 32 first-round picks (including several trades) plus the rest of Washington's projected class, while noting it is an exercise in what could happen rather than a firm forecast.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Grant GordonGame Outcome Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Predicts Tyler Shough throws for 400 yards and the Saints beat the Falcons on Monday night, with a blocked punt recovered for a touchdown.
- Bobby KownackGame Outcome Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Predicts the Saints beat the Falcons on Monday night, sealing it with a blocked punt returned for a touchdown in the game's final minutes.
- Mitchell EisensteinGame Outcome Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Eisenstein ranked the Bills first in his top five entering Week 4 and made picks across the week's games, including the Chiefs by two touchdowns over the Raiders as his "lock of the week," the Lions by 10 at Carolina, and Tyreek Hill signing with the Raiders.
- Richard ShermanGame Outcome Picks · Atlanta FalconsHit · 100Sherman gave his own top five entering Week 4 with the 49ers first, then made picks in every Week 4 game, including upset calls for Carolina over Detroit (with a 36-31 scoreline), Tampa Bay over Green Bay, Washington over Indianapolis and Jacksonville over Cincinnati.
- Ross JacksonGame Outcome Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Ross Jackson gave a game-by-game projection of the Saints' 2026 season, predicting they open 0-2 on the road, go 5-1 in the division and finish 10-7 (possibly better), making them a double-digit-win contender for the NFC South crown.
- Pete MartuneacGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100Martuneac expects the Bears to beat the Jets comfortably in Week 4, with Tyson Bagent playing efficiently, Dillon Thieneman picking off Geno Smith twice, and Colston Loveland breaking out as a two-touchdown receiver.