Mark WahlbergSep 3, 2026
Wahlberg went game-by-game through the Patriots' schedule and predicted a 14-3 season, with losses only at Buffalo, to the Lions in Germany, and at Kansas City.
Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original
What Mark Wahlberg said
Fourteen and three.
- Where it was said
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
- The episode
- Hour 3: AFC North Predictions, Actor Mark Wahlberg talks ‘By Any Means’ and plays Celebrity True or False, Actor Mark Wahlberg plays the Patriots Win-Loss Game
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 3
- PlayedSep 9–Nov 8
- GradedSep 11–Nov 9
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Outcome Picks | 6 | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| Season Win Totals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| All | 6 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
17 checkable claims — 16 game outcome picks and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
11 of 17 have settled so far, averaging 54.5 out of 100, against 63.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
New England Patriots · 2026 season · wins16 calls from 7 pundits between 9 wins and 14 wins. Mark Wahlberg said 14 wins. the room's median is 10 wins. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Game Outcome Picks6 hits · 5 misses · 5 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
New England Patriots to beat Packers
“Seven and one home for the Packers. Oh, we're giving the Packers no love. Eight and one.”
Packers 45–27Packers at Patriots0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 45-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Patriots 24–19Patriots at Dolphins100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 24-19
- skill:
- 200
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- MIA
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
New England Patriots to beat bears
“Five and one at the bears on a Thursday night short week to kick off week seven. Okay. Yeah. We're winning that game”
Bears 30–24Patriots at Bears0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 24-30
- skill:
- −200
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
New England Patriots to beat Jets
“Eleven and three at the Jets. Jets. Yeah. Twelve and three”
Patriots 26–19Jets at Patriots100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 19-26
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
New England Patriots to beat Jets
“We we're gonna beat who we got? The Jets? The Jets. Yeah.”
Patriots 26–19Jets at Patriots100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 19-26
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
New England Patriots to beat Raiders
“Three in one home for the Raiders. Yeah. Raiders... Raiders are toast.”
Patriots 45–17Raiders at Patriots100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 17-45
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Buffalo Bills to beat New England Patriots
“I think we split with Buffalo... But I'll I'll give Buffalo that one at home.”
Patriots 29–26Patriots at Bills0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 29-26
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Patriots 29–26Patriots at Bills100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 29-26
- skill:
- 200
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
New England Patriots to beat Jacksonville Jaguars
“Two and o at the Jacksonville Jaguars. We're winning that game.”
Jaguars 35–6Patriots at Jaguars0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- JAX
- score:
- 6-35
- skill:
- −200
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- JAX
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
New England Patriots to beat Steelers
“home for the Steelers and Aaron Rodgers. Mike McCarthy, nothing. We're winning that game.”
Patriots 20–3Steelers at Patriots100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 3-20
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
New England Patriots to beat Seahawks
“opener against the defending Super Bowl champion Seahawks... I think they have a championship hangover. I think we win that game.”
Seahawks 13–10Patriots at Seahawks0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Closing line (Sep 9): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, Patriots 40%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- SEA
- score:
- 10-13
- skill:
- −200
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SEA
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- —Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
New England Patriots to beat Broncos
“Twelve and three home for Broncos. I love that. I love that.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Detroit Lions to beat New England Patriots
“Picking on the Lions in Germany. How about that one? Yeah. I think the Lions could win that game... I'll give the Lions that one.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
New England Patriots to beat Chargers
“out here against the Chargers on a Sunday night. Yeah. We're beating the Chargers.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Kansas City Chiefs to beat New England Patriots
“at the Kansas City... I I'll give Kansas City that.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Season Win Totals1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
New England Patriots to finish with 14 wins
“And I think we went out. We went out. We were better than last year. Fourteen and three.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
The games in this take
every pundit’s pick on each- Patriots at SeahawksSeahawks 13Patriots 1027 calls →
- Steelers at PatriotsPatriots 20Steelers 323 calls →
- Patriots at JaguarsJaguars 35Patriots 617 calls →
- Patriots at BillsPatriots 29Bills 2636 calls →
- Raiders at PatriotsPatriots 45Raiders 1728 calls →
- Jets at PatriotsPatriots 26Jets 1924 calls →
- Patriots at BearsBears 30Patriots 2423 calls →
- Patriots at DolphinsPatriots 24Dolphins 1919 calls →
- Packers at PatriotsPackers 45Patriots 2725 calls →
- Patriots at LionsKickoff Nov 15, 202625 calls →
- Patriots at ChargersKickoff Nov 30, 20261 call →
- Vikings at PatriotsKickoff Dec 11, 20261 call →
- Patriots at ChiefsKickoff Dec 22, 20263 calls →
- Broncos at PatriotsKickoff Jan 3, 20273 calls →
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.Joshua Poniatowski · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE.Jordan Dajani · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension.Mike Kadlick · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Kadlick names the Chiefs, Patriots and 49ers as the three best trade landing spots for Colts wide receiver Josh Downs ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.