Mark Wahlberg· Sep 3, 2026
Wahlberg went game-by-game through the Patriots' schedule and predicted a 14-3 season, with losses only at Buffalo, to the Lions in Germany, and at Kansas City.
“Fourteen and three.”
said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →
17 checkable claims — 16 game outcome picks and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 17 have settled so far, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.
Where this call stands in the room
New England Patriots · 2026 season · wins18 calls from 10 pundits between 9 wins and 14 wins. Mark Wahlberg said 14 wins. the room's median is 10 wins. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Patriots at Seahawks 34 calls
- Steelers at Patriots 20 calls
- Patriots at Jaguars 16 calls
- Patriots at Bills 4 calls
- Raiders at Patriots 4 calls
- Jets at Patriots 3 calls
- Patriots at Bears 3 calls
- Patriots at Lions 3 calls
- Patriots at Chiefs 3 calls
- Broncos at Patriots 3 calls
17 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsSep 3, 2026
New England Patriots to beat Jacksonville Jaguars
“Two and o at the Jacksonville Jaguars. We're winning that game.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- JAX
- score:
- 6-35
- skill:
- -200
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- JAX
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsSep 3, 2026
New England Patriots to beat Steelers
“home for the Steelers and Aaron Rodgers. Mike McCarthy, nothing. We're winning that game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 3-20
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsSep 3, 2026
New England Patriots to beat Seahawks
“opener against the defending Super Bowl champion Seahawks... I think they have a championship hangover. I think we win that game.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SEA
- score:
- 10-13
- skill:
- -200
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SEA
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsSep 3, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to beat New England Patriots
“at the Kansas City... I I'll give Kansas City that.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsSep 3, 2026
New England Patriots to beat Minnesota
“Ten and two. Minnesota. Eleven and two”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsSep 3, 2026
New England Patriots to beat Raiders
“Three in one home for the Raiders. Yeah. Raiders... Raiders are toast.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsSep 3, 2026
New England Patriots to beat Chargers
“out here against the Chargers on a Sunday night. Yeah. We're beating the Chargers.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsSep 3, 2026
New England Patriots to beat bears
“Five and one at the bears on a Thursday night short week to kick off week seven. Okay. Yeah. We're winning that game”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksDetroit LionsSep 3, 2026
Detroit Lions to beat New England Patriots
“Picking on the Lions in Germany. How about that one? Yeah. I think the Lions could win that game... I'll give the Lions that one.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsSep 3, 2026
New England Patriots to beat Buffalo
“Buffalo at home. Okay. Ten and two.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsSep 3, 2026
New England Patriots to beat Jets
“Eleven and three at the Jets. Jets. Yeah. Twelve and three”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsSep 3, 2026
New England Patriots to beat dolphins
“Six and one at the dolphins. Toast.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsSep 3, 2026
New England Patriots to beat Broncos
“Twelve and three home for Broncos. I love that. I love that.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsSep 3, 2026
New England Patriots to beat Jets
“We we're gonna beat who we got? The Jets? The Jets. Yeah.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsSep 3, 2026
New England Patriots to beat Packers
“Seven and one home for the Packers. Oh, we're giving the Packers no love. Eight and one.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsNew England PatriotsSep 3, 2026
New England Patriots to finish with 14 wins
“And I think we went out. We went out. We were better than last year. Fourteen and three.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsSep 3, 2026
Buffalo Bills to beat New England Patriots
“I think we split with Buffalo... But I'll I'll give Buffalo that one at home.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Jake ArthurScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Matt HarmonGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.