Pete Martuneac· Oct 4, 2026
Martuneac expects the Bears to beat the Jets comfortably in Week 4, with Tyson Bagent playing efficiently, Dillon Thieneman picking off Geno Smith twice, and Colston Loveland breaking out as a two-touchdown receiver.
“This is a game the Bears should win, and win big thanks to a handful of key performances, including an efficient day from Tyson Bagent.”
published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →
9 checkable claims — 8 player season numbers and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 4 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.
Where this call stands in the room
Colston Loveland · 2026 season · receiving yards8 calls from 6 pundits between 95 receiving yards and 1,200 receiving yards. Pete Martuneac said 95 receiving yards. the room's median is 1,004 receiving yards. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
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Who this take is about
The game in this take
- Jets at Bears 26 calls
9 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsOct 4, 2026
Chicago Bears to beat New York Jets
“This is a game the Bears should win, and win big thanks to a handful of key performances, including an efficient day from Tyson Bagent.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 12-23
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
Tyson Bagent to record 205 passing yards
“Tyson Bagent: 20-for-29 passing for 205 yards, two touchdowns, and zero interceptions”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Tyson Bagent to record 2 passing tds
“Tyson Bagent: 20-for-29 passing for 205 yards, two touchdowns, and zero interceptions”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Dillon Thieneman to record 2 interceptions
“Dillon Thieneman: Two interceptions ... Thieneman got his first NFL interception last week, and I predict he'll add two more today.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Colston Loveland to record 95 receiving yards
“Colston Loveland: Seven receptions on nine targets for 95 yards and two touchdowns”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Colston Loveland to record 2 receiving tds
“Colston Loveland: Seven receptions on nine targets for 95 yards and two touchdowns”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Tyson Bagent to record 0 passing interceptions
“20-for-29 passing for 205 yards, two touchdowns, and zero interceptions”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Player Season NumbersGeno SmithNew York JetsOct 4, 2026
Geno Smith to record 3 passing interceptions
“I think defensive coordinator Dennis Allen has his number and can bait Smith into throwing another trio of picks, with two going to Thieneman.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Colston Loveland to record 7 receptions
“Colston Loveland: Seven receptions on nine targets for 95 yards and two touchdowns”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Gennaro FiliceScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 90Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including the Bills over a struggling Patriots offense, the Eagles over the Rams and the only Browns pick of the panel.
- Dan ParrScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 83Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, taking the 49ers to move to 4-0 over Denver, the Saints at home on Monday night and the Steelers in Cleveland.
- Jeremy PargoScore Predictions · New York JetsMiss · 29Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including an upset of the Colts by Washington in London and a Buccaneers win over the Packers.
- Brooke CersosimoScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 83Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including the Bears over the Jets, the Cowboys in the Battle for Texas and an upset of the Chiefs by the undefeated Raiders.
- Bobby KownackScore Predictions · New York JetsMiss · 26Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including upsets by the Jets in Chicago and the Buccaneers over the Packers, plus the Jaguars at Cincinnati.
- Seth WalderScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 81Walder made a 'bold prediction' for each Week 4 game — including receiving and rushing yardage marks, sacks, an interception and a Dolphins upset — and picked final scores for all 15 games on the slate.
More player season numbers
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ross JacksonPlayer Season Numbers · Tyler ShoughMiss · 4Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.
- Chris BroussardPlayer Season Numbers · Lamar JacksonMiss · 0Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. He also takes the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record.
- Nick WrightPlayer Season Numbers · Myles GarrettHit · 100Wright picks the Steelers to beat the Ravens outright in Pittsburgh, takes Seattle over San Francisco, and thinks the Browns lose to Cincinnati even as Myles Garrett gets the sack record.
- Nick WrightPlayer Season Numbers · Myles GarrettHit · 84Nick Wright says Myles Garrett is playing at an all-time level and might reach 25 sacks this season, and among his weekly picks he expects the Bears to beat the Steelers in an ugly low-margin home win and Seattle to win comfortably at Tennessee.
- Shannon SharpePlayer Season Numbers · T.J. WattMiss · 0On a Bengals-Steelers matchup, Sharpe took the over on several player props: Ja'Marr Chase over 74.5 receiving yards, Joe Flacco over 36.5 pass attempts, and T.J. Watt over 3.5 tackles+assists, adding that Watt will get two sacks. He also predicted Rico Dowdle would make the Pro Bowl this season.
- Rich EisenPlayer Season Numbers · Micah ParsonsClose · 56Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. He also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record.