Greg Jennings· Oct 1, 2026
Jennings picked the Patriots to hand the Bills their first loss as his upset alert, and in the chips-on-the-table segment took the Bengals over the Jaguars, the Jets over the Bears and the Broncos over the 49ers.
“they come out of Highmark giving the Buffalo Bills a first loss”
said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast) · read the original →
4 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 25 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Jaguars at Bengals 30 calls
- Patriots at Bills 36 calls
- Jets at Bears 26 calls
- Broncos at 49ers 27 calls
4 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksCincinnati BengalsOct 1, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Jacksonville Jaguars
“I'm putting three chips on the Bengals... I think they meet their match in the jungle this week.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- JAX
- score:
- 22-17
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- CIN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- CIN
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosOct 1, 2026
Denver Broncos to beat Niners
“I got two chips on the Broncos... I think they put it all together on the road against a team that has been playing really good ball. I think they get it done.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 14-24
- skill:
- −183
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SF
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- Game Outcome PicksNew York JetsOct 1, 2026
New York Jets to beat Bears
“I'm... Got two chips on the jets... I think they were able to get it done.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 12-23
- skill:
- −183
- they picked:
- NYJ
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsOct 1, 2026
New England Patriots to beat Buffalo Bills
“they come out of Highmark giving the Buffalo Bills a first loss”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+183 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 29-26
- skill:
- 183
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
What others said about the same people
- Brooke CersosimoScore Predictions · Cincinnati BengalsClose · 50Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including the Bears over the Jets, the Cowboys in the Battle for Texas and an upset of the Chiefs by the undefeated Raiders.
- Jeremy PargoScore Predictions · New York JetsMiss · 29Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including an upset of the Colts by Washington in London and a Buccaneers win over the Packers.
- Gennaro FiliceScore Predictions · Denver BroncosMiss · 31Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including the Bills over a struggling Patriots offense, the Eagles over the Rams and the only Browns pick of the panel.
- Bobby KownackScore Predictions · New York JetsMiss · 26Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including upsets by the Jets in Chicago and the Buccaneers over the Packers, plus the Jaguars at Cincinnati.
- Pamela MaldonadoScore Predictions · Denver BroncosMiss · 33Maldonado picked final scores for all 15 Week 4 games, including Denver upsetting the unbeaten 49ers and Atlanta winning in New Orleans.
- Seth WalderScore Predictions · Cincinnati BengalsClose · 45Walder made a 'bold prediction' for each Week 4 game — including receiving and rushing yardage marks, sacks, an interception and a Dolphins upset — and picked final scores for all 15 games on the slate.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Grant GordonGame Outcome Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Predicts Tyler Shough throws for 400 yards and the Saints beat the Falcons on Monday night, with a blocked punt recovered for a touchdown.
- Bobby KownackGame Outcome Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Predicts the Saints beat the Falcons on Monday night, sealing it with a blocked punt returned for a touchdown in the game's final minutes.
- Mitchell EisensteinGame Outcome Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Eisenstein ranked the Bills first in his top five entering Week 4 and made picks across the week's games, including the Chiefs by two touchdowns over the Raiders as his "lock of the week," the Lions by 10 at Carolina, and Tyreek Hill signing with the Raiders.
- Richard ShermanGame Outcome Picks · Atlanta FalconsHit · 100Sherman gave his own top five entering Week 4 with the 49ers first, then made picks in every Week 4 game, including upset calls for Carolina over Detroit (with a 36-31 scoreline), Tampa Bay over Green Bay, Washington over Indianapolis and Jacksonville over Cincinnati.
- Ross JacksonGame Outcome Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Ross Jackson gave a game-by-game projection of the Saints' 2026 season, predicting they open 0-2 on the road, go 5-1 in the division and finish 10-7 (possibly better), making them a double-digit-win contender for the NFC South crown.
- Pete MartuneacGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100Martuneac expects the Bears to beat the Jets comfortably in Week 4, with Tyson Bagent playing efficiently, Dillon Thieneman picking off Geno Smith twice, and Colston Loveland breaking out as a two-touchdown receiver.