David Harrison#57 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 23, 2026

Harrison delivers their only first-round mock draft for the 2026 NFL Draft, projecting all 32 first-round picks (including several trades) plus the rest of Washington's projected class, while noting it is an exercise in what could happen rather than a firm forecast.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Commanders (podcast)Hear the original

22 of 41calls landed

22 hits · 13 close calls · 6 misses · 1 waiting

71.8Average accuracyout of 100, across 41 calls

47A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

41 of 42Settled1 still waiting

#57David Harrison’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What David Harrison said

So Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Fernando Mendoza, number two overall, New York Jets. I think they're going edge Arvel Reese out of Ohio State here.

David Harrison, the lead quote

Where it was said: Locked On Commanders (podcast)
The episode: SHOCKER: Commanders EXECUTE NFC East Trade in First Round Mock Draft
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidApr 23
GradedAug 14–Oct 1

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting

Group	Hits	Close	Misses	Waiting
Mock Draft Picks	19	13	6	0
Trade and Signing Calls	1	0	0	0
Position Order Calls	2	0	0	0
Depth Chart Calls	0	0	0	1
All	22	13	6	1

How each call scored

42 checkable claims — 38 mock draft picks, 2 position order calls, 1 depth chart call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 65 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

41 of 42 have settled so far, averaging 71.8 out of 100, against 47 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick

54They said

38What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Mock Draft Picks19 hits · 13 close calls · 6 missesShow ▸

Treydan Stukes to be picked at number 54
“then they get trading stoops, cornerback out of Arizona with the fifty fourth overall pick in this mock”
Treydan Stukes Washington Commanders
Went 38mocked at 54
50Close
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Treydan Stukes
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
actual pick:
38
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
50
predicted pick:
54
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 27
“The San Francisco forty niners at 27 get an offensive lineman, Caleb Lomu”
Caleb Lomu San Francisco 49ers
Went 28mocked at 27
95.76Hit
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Caleb Lomu
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
28
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
27
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 15
“Buffalo Bills... they go get the second best safety in this class, Dylan Thineman, to come up the board”
Dillon Thieneman Buffalo Bills
Went 25mocked at 15
64.84Close
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Dillon Thieneman
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
64.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
25
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
64.84
predicted pick:
15
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Omar Cooper to be picked at number 23
“And then we're back at number 23 for the Washington commanders, and they take wide receiver, Omar Cooper, out of Indiana.”
Omar Cooper Washington Commanders
Went 30mocked at 23
73.84Close
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Omar Cooper
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
30
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
23
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Denzel Boston to be picked at number 18
“Number 18, the Cleveland Browns come on the clock, and they take wide receiver, Denzel Boston.”
Denzel Boston Cleveland Browns
Went 39mocked at 18
40.26Close
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Denzel Boston
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
40.26
baseline:
50
actual pick:
39
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
40.26
predicted pick:
18
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
David Bailey to be picked at number 3
“Now David Bailey does come off the board at number three... The Dallas Cowboys come up and get David Bailey”
David Bailey Dallas Cowboys
Went 2mocked at 3
95.76Hit
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
David Bailey
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4
“Tennessee Titans at number four... they take running back Jeremiah Love out of Notre Dame.”
Jeremiyah Love Tennessee Titans
Went 3mocked at 4
95.76Hit
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
C.J. Allen to be picked at number 26
“the Tampa Bay Buccaneers come up on the clock... taking linebacker CJ Allen... getting him at number 26”
C.J. Allen Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Went 53mocked at 26
31.05Miss
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
C.J. Allen
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
31.05
baseline:
50
actual pick:
53
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
31.05
predicted pick:
26
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Spencer Fano to be picked at number 12
“Number 12, for that trade with the Dallas Cowboys, Arizona Cardinals make their first pick. Offensive tackle, Spencer Fanon.”
Spencer Fano Arizona Cardinals
Went 9mocked at 12
87.81Hit
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Spencer Fano
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
9
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
12
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 11
“at a number 11, the Miami Dolphins take advantage, and they go Makai Lemon”
Makai Lemon Miami Dolphins
Went 20mocked at 11
67.71Close
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Makai Lemon
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
67.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
20
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
67.71
predicted pick:
11
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10
“Then at number 10, the giants are back on the board... They go safety with this pick... but I settled on Caleb downs”
Caleb Downs New York Giants
Went 11mocked at 10
95.76Hit
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
10
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 13
“At 13, the Los Angeles Rams go Francis, Maui Goa.”
Francis Mauigoa Los Angeles Rams
Went 10mocked at 13
87.81Hit
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Francis Mauigoa
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
13
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 16
“Kansas City Chiefs back on the clock to make their first pick of the draft. Offensive lineman, Caden Proctor”
Kadyn Proctor Kansas City Chiefs
Went 12mocked at 16
84.09Hit
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Kadyn Proctor
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
12
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
16
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
T.J. Hall to be picked at number 209
“Six round two zero nine, TJ Hall, cornerback out of Iowa”
T.J. Hall Washington Commanders
Went 219mocked at 209
64.84Close
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
T.J. Hall
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
64.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
219
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
64.84
predicted pick:
209
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 8
“Number eight, New York Giants via that trade with the New Orleans Saints, they get cornerback man Mansour the lane”
Mansoor Delane New York Giants
Went 6mocked at 8
91.7Hit
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Mansoor Delane
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
6
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
8
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Kamari Ramsey to be picked at number 71
“Number 71 overall in the third round, Kamari Ramsey, safety out of USC”
Kamari Ramsey Washington Commanders
Went 141mocked at 71
4.82Miss
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Kamari Ramsey
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
4.82
baseline:
50
actual pick:
141
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
4.82
predicted pick:
71
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 9
“the New York Jets move up to take Jordan Tyson, the second receiver off the board in this mock draft”
Jordyn Tyson New York Jets
Went 8mocked at 9
95.76Hit
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Jordyn Tyson
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
9
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 22
“Number 22, Los Angeles chargers go corner... they go to Avion Terrell”
Avieon Terrell Los Angeles Chargers
Went 48mocked at 22
32.42Miss
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Avieon Terrell
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
32.42
baseline:
50
actual pick:
48
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
32.42
predicted pick:
22
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 19
“that leaves tight end Kenyan Saddiq out of Oregon available and on the board for the Carolina Panthers”
Kenyon Sadiq Carolina Panthers
Went 16mocked at 19
87.81Hit
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Kenyon Sadiq
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
16
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
19
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 17
“A key Mesidore ends up going to the Detroit lines to team up with Aidan Hutchinson.”
Akheem Mesidor Detroit Lions
Went 22mocked at 17
80.52Hit
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Akheem Mesidor
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
22
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
17
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Zion Young to be picked at number 31
“New England patriots grab grab edge rusher Zion Young.”
Zion Young New England Patriots
Went 45mocked at 31
54.53Close
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Zion Young
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
54.53
baseline:
50
actual pick:
45
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
54.53
predicted pick:
31
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5
“They send pick number five to the New Orleans Saints... and take Sunny Styles, linebacker at Ohio State.”
Sonny Styles New Orleans Saints
Went 7mocked at 5
91.7Hit
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Christen Miller to be picked at number 28
“Number 28, Houston Texans. D lineman Kristen Miller helps bolster their defense”
Christen Miller Houston Texans
Went 42mocked at 28
54.53Close
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Christen Miller
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
54.53
baseline:
50
actual pick:
42
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
54.53
predicted pick:
28
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14
“At 14, the Baltimore Ravens go not tackle, but lineman, Vega, Wayone.”
Olaivavega Ioane Baltimore Ravens
Went 14mocked at 14
100Hit
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Olaivavega Ioane
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
14
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
14
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Harold Perkins to be picked at number 187
“Six round one eighty seven, Harold Perkins junior, linebacker LSU.”
Harold Perkins Washington Commanders
Went 215mocked at 187
29.73Miss
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Harold Perkins
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
29.73
baseline:
50
actual pick:
215
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
29.73
predicted pick:
187
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 6
“The Vikings come up... to come get edge rusher Ruben, Bain junior for Brian Flores's defense”
Rueben Bain Minnesota Vikings
Went 15mocked at 6
67.71Close
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Rueben Bain
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
67.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
15
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
67.71
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Logan Jones to be picked at number 147
“Fifth round, one forty seven overall, Logan Jones, center out of Iowa”
Logan Jones Washington Commanders
Went 57mocked at 147
2.03Miss
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Logan Jones
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
2.03
baseline:
50
actual pick:
57
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
2.03
predicted pick:
147
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 24
“Wrapping up the first round here, Cleveland Browns go Max Ian a Ian Achor... Arizona state offensive tackle”
Max Iheanachor Cleveland Browns
Went 21mocked at 24
87.81Hit
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Max Iheanachor
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
21
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
24
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Ty Simpson to be picked at number 32
“the Arizona Cardinals get pick number 32 from the Seattle Seahawks... to move up and take quarterback, Ty Simpson, out of Alabama”
Ty Simpson Arizona Cardinals
Went 13mocked at 32
43.91Close
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
43.91
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
43.91
predicted pick:
32
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 25
“The Chicago bears end up with safety, Emmanuel McNeil Warren, to help fill in their secondary.”
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren Chicago Bears
Went 58mocked at 25
23.94Miss
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
23.94
baseline:
50
actual pick:
58
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
23.94
predicted pick:
25
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 20
“At number 20, the Arizona Cardinals go edge rusher with Kendrick Falk, out of Auburn.”
Keldric Faulk Arizona Cardinals
Went 31mocked at 20
62.09Close
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Keldric Faulk
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
62.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
31
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
62.09
predicted pick:
20
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Eli Heidenreich to be picked “Seventh round” (picks 217–257)
“Seventh round, Eli Heidenreich, very interesting prospect. I'm gonna call him a fullback here at a navy”
Eli Heidenreich Washington Commanders
Went 230
100Hit
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Eli Heidenreich
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
230
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
Seventh round (picks 217–257)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“number two overall, New York Jets. I think they're going edge Arvel Reese out of Ohio State here.”
Arvell Reese New York Jets
Went 5mocked at 2
87.81Hit
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 7
“And with that pick, the Philadelphia Eagles... Take Wide receiver, Cardinal Tate”
Carnell Tate Philadelphia Eagles
Went 4mocked at 7
87.81Hit
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Blake Miller to be picked at number 21
“Number 21, the Pittsburgh Steelers take another lineman, Blake Miller out of Clemson.”
Blake Miller Pittsburgh Steelers
Went 17mocked at 21
84.09Hit
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Blake Miller
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
17
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
21
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 30
“Number 30, the Miami Dolphins take offensive tackle Monroe Freeling.”
Monroe Freeling Miami Dolphins
Went 19mocked at 30
62.09Close
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Monroe Freeling
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
62.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
19
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
62.09
predicted pick:
30
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
T.J. Parker to be picked at number 29
“29, Kansas City Chiefs back on the clock. Edge rusher TJ Parker at a Clemson, goes to them.”
T.J. Parker Kansas City Chiefs
Went 35mocked at 29
77.11Close
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
T.J. Parker
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
35
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
29
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“Starting off with the Las Vegas Raiders, quarterback Fernando Mendoza, the consensus top quarterback”
Fernando Mendoza Las Vegas Raiders
Went 1mocked at 1
100Hit
mock order 92.82 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.82 × 1 difficulty = +42.82 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.82
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.82
Think this is wrong?

Trade and Signing Calls1 hitShow ▸

A.J. Brown to move to New England Patriots
“Philadelphia Eagles wanna come up to number seven to get a receiver to help them replace AJ Brown when they trade him to the New England Patriots in June.”
A.J. Brown New England Patriots
100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
player:
A.J. Brown
season:
2026
claimed:
NE
was with:
PHI
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
reported:
traded → NE (from PHI)
settled by:
a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?

Position Order Calls2 hitsShow ▸

Jordyn Tyson to be 2nd wide receiver off the board
“take Jordan Tyson, the second receiver off the board in this mock draft”
Jordyn Tyson New York Jets
100Hit
100 − 11.45 naive = 88.55 × 1 difficulty = +88.55 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 36 at random averages 11.45
skill:
88.55
player:
Jordyn Tyson
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
11.45
position:
wide receiver
class size:
36
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
2
predicted order:
2
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Spencer Fano to be 1st offensive tackle off the board
“The first offensive tackle off the board, and it starts a run.”
Spencer Fano Arizona Cardinals
100Hit
100 − 17.05 naive = 82.95 × 1 difficulty = +82.95 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 20 at random averages 17.05
skill:
82.95
player:
Spencer Fano
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
17.05
position:
offensive tackle
class size:
20
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
1
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?

Depth Chart Calls1 waitingShow ▸

Nick Allegretti to be 1st on the depth chart
“Perhaps compete year one with Nick Allegretti. I still think Nick Allegretti wins that job”
Nick Allegretti Washington Commanders
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?