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Adam RankDec 16, 2025

Rank expects Michael Carter to start for the Cardinals against Atlanta and picks Jalen Hurts as the week's top fantasy quarterback in a big game against Washington.

Said on air or in an interview · The Rich Eisen Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
No. 1What happenedcalled No. 1 · by rushing yards
75A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
+29.25Skillafter difficulty

What Adam Rank said

It feels like Michael Carter is gonna go out there and get the start.
Our reading: Michael Carter to be 1st on the depth chart
The episode
NFL Fantasy Live: Steelers-Dolphins Recap + Fantasy Playoff Predictions
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 12, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidDec 16, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Depth Chart CallsMichael CarterArizona Cardinals

    Michael Carter to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by rushing yards
    100Hit · naive 75
    100this call75a naive guess25better than naive1.17difficulty+29.25skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    ARI
    skill:
    29.25
    player:
    Michael Carter
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    75
    position:
    RB
    naive slot:
    4
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    1.17
    measured by:
    rushing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    3
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

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