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Tyler Sullivan· Oct 22, 2026

In his Week 7 upset alert column, Sullivan expects the Cardinals to score in the low-to-mid 20s and beat the visiting Broncos, whose offense he views as broken under Bo Nix. He also suggests Sam Darnold's turnovers will let the Chiefs win in Seattle and remain undefeated.

“I have confidence in Jacoby Brissett, Trey McBride, and the rest of the Arizona offense to get in the low-to-mid-20s on Sunday, which should be enough against Denver.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Arizona Cardinals to beat Denver Broncos

    “I have confidence in Jacoby Brissett, Trey McBride, and the rest of the Arizona offense to get in the low-to-mid-20s on Sunday, which should be enough against Denver.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    30-16
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    ARI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    ARI
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12

    Closing line (Oct 25): Broncos by 4.5 · underdog pick, Cardinals about 1 in 3 (33%).

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  • Kansas City Chiefs to beat Seattle Seahawks

    “If that persists in this matchup, you're giving Mahomes and old buddy Kenneth Walker III short fields that they'll almost certainly take advantage of to stay undefeated this season.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-167 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    3-20
    skill:
    −167
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12

    Closing line (Oct 25): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, Chiefs 41%.

    Think this is wrong?

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