Jesse Holley· Sep 3, 2026
Jesse predicted the Cowboys finish 10-7 but still win the NFC East with 10 wins, picking Dallas over the Giants, Commanders, Texans, Buccaneers, Colts (loss), and losing to Baltimore, Green Bay, Philadelphia twice, Arizona, Seattle and the Rams.
“I believe that the Cowboys are gonna win the division with 10 wins.”
said on air, transcribed by us · DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast) · read the original →
15 checkable claims — 13 game outcome picks, 1 division winner and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
Where this call stands in the room
Dallas Cowboys · 2026 season · wins13 calls from 9 pundits between 3 wins and 13 wins. Jesse Holley said 10 wins. the room's median is 10 wins. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Commanders at Cowboys 15 calls
- Ravens at Cowboys 25 calls
- Cowboys at Texans 9 calls
- Buccaneers at Cowboys 5 calls
- Cowboys at Packers 10 calls
- Cowboys at Eagles 13 calls
- Cardinals at Cowboys 5 calls
- Cowboys at Colts 5 calls
- 49ers at Cowboys 9 calls
- Titans at Cowboys 4 calls
- Cowboys at Seahawks 6 calls
- Cowboys at Rams 11 calls
15 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksBaltimore RavensSep 3, 2026
Baltimore Ravens to beat Cowboys
“I think they lose in Rio to Baltimore.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BAL
- score:
- 34-31
- skill:
- 200
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- DAL
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 3, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to beat commanders
“I think the Cowboys will open up a can of whoop whoop tail.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DAL
- score:
- 20-37
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DAL
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 3, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to beat Tennessee Titans
“I got them at Tennessee Titan. Right, Jesse? Yes.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksSep 3, 2026
Seattle Seahawks to beat Cowboys
“Cowboys lose to Seahawks.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Division WinnersDallas CowboysSep 3, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
“I believe that the Cowboys are gonna win the division with 10 wins.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksArizona CardinalsSep 3, 2026
Arizona Cardinals to beat Cowboys
“Until they do it, the Cowboys for me lose their third game in a row.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsSep 3, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to beat Cowboys
“Do they beat the Rams? No.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 3, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers
“That's a win. That's a dub for the cowboys.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia EaglesSep 3, 2026
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Cowboys
“I have the Cowboys losing that second game in a row, losing to the Philadelphia Eagles.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsDallas CowboysSep 3, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to finish with 10 wins
“You have ten and seven. Sound about right.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 3, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to beat Texans
“And I think Brandon Aubrey heads down I 45 South, and he kicks the game winning field goal... where the Cowboys beat beat the Texans.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksIndianapolis ColtsSep 3, 2026
Indianapolis Colts to beat Cowboys
“I'm done for the Cowboys. Taking the Colts.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay PackersSep 3, 2026
Green Bay Packers to beat Cowboys
“I think the Cowboys lose that game for the Green Bay Packers in Lambeau Field.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 3, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to beat 40 niners
“I think the cowboys do finally get over the the the little brother, big brother thing with the 40 niners, and, that's a dub”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia EaglesSep 3, 2026
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Cowboys
“Yeah. I think, the Cowboys lose to the Eagles. Twice?”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensHit · 98Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 10Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Minnesota VikingsHit · 100Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.