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Joshua Brisco· Oct 4, 2026

Brisco expects the Raiders' edge rushers and Brock Bowers to create matchup problems, but picks Kansas City to win a close Week 4 game as the better overall team.

“I'll ride with the better overall squad in a close game.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Kansas City Chiefs to beat Raiders

    “All in all, I think the Chiefs are the better team, but the Raiders have some key places to search for advantages. I'll ride with the better overall squad in a close game.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+183 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    30-27
    skill:
    183
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LV
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15

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