Chiefs vs Raiders predictions, graded
Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders · Week 4, 2026 · Sun, Oct 4 · Final: Chiefs 30, Raiders 27 · Updated
Who do pundits pick in Chiefs vs Raiders? Of 30 pundits with a call on record, 25 take the Chiefs and 5 take the Raiders. 13 named a score; the median has the Chiefs by 5. The Chiefs won 30-27, so 25 of 30 had the winner. Their graded calls averaged 86 out of 100.
Who the room took
30 pundits · each counted once, by their latest callChiefs vs Raiders picks by outlet
Each pundit counted once, at the outlet or show their latest call ran on. An outlet is listed when two or more of its pundits have picked.
- CBS SportsChiefs 4, Raiders 1
- Sports IllustratedChiefs 3, Raiders 1
- Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast)all 2 Chiefs
- Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast)all 2 Chiefs
- Fox Sportsall 2 Chiefs
- The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)all 2 Chiefs
The other 13 pundits write or talk elsewhere: Chiefs 10, Raiders 3.
Chiefs vs Raiders score predictions
13 pundits named a score; the median call is Chiefs by 5, and the final was Chiefs by 3.
Each dot is one pundit’s latest score call, placed at the winning margin it named. The solid bar is how the game actually finished. Hover or tap a dot for the pundit and the score.
- Brooke CersosimoRaiders 26, Chiefs 24Close · 48
- Bobby KownackChiefs 23, Raiders 21Hit · 98
- Dan ParrChiefs 27, Raiders 24Hit · 100
- Jeremy PargoChiefs 28, Raiders 21Hit · 90
- Gennaro FiliceChiefs 24, Raiders 20Hit · 98
- Seth WalderRaiders 24, Chiefs 22Close · 48
- Pamela MaldonadoChiefs 27, Raiders 20Hit · 90
- Eric MoodyChiefs 30, Raiders 24Hit · 93
- John BreechChiefs 30, Raiders 23Hit · 90
- Chris SimmsChiefs 24, Raiders 20Hit · 98
- Nick WrightChiefs 31, Raiders 24Hit · 90
- Tyler SullivanChiefs 30, Raiders 24Hit · 93
- Pete PriscoChiefs 29, Raiders 24Hit · 95
Chiefs at Raiders: how they came in
The Chiefs are 3-0 and have won 3 straight; the Raiders are 3-0 and have won 3 straight. It is a division game. On win totals, 8 pundits put the Chiefs at 10.4 wins on average, and 14 pundits put the Raiders at 6.6 wins on average.
Allegiant Stadium, Paradise, Nevada · Division game
- Record coming in
- 3-0 · won 3 straight · 88 scored, 50 allowed
- Last games
- W 24-10 at Dolphins Week 3
- W 33-30 vs Colts Week 2
- W 31-10 vs Broncos Week 1
- Unit ranks
- offense 4th, defense 8th of 32 (this season)
- Last season
- 6-11
- Win-total calls
- 8 pundits · average 10.4 · 9 to 13 wins
- The room's picks
- the side most pundits took won 2 of 3 Chiefs games
- Record coming in
- 3-0 · won 3 straight · 88 scored, 54 allowed
- Last games
- W 35-27 at Saints Week 3
- W 26-14 at Chargers Week 2
- W 27-13 vs Dolphins Week 1
- Unit ranks
- offense 17th, defense 31st of 32 (this season)
- Last season
- 3-14
- Win-total calls
- 15 pundits · average 6.6 · 3 to 17 wins
- The room's picks
- the side most pundits took won 1 of 3 Raiders games
Chiefs and Raiders players to watch
Each club’s starting quarterback, leading rusher, receiver and tight end, and its sack and tackle leaders, with their 2026 regular season so far, with the latest call on each from a pundit on our leaderboard whose record beats the naive pick (69 pundits clear that bar), made since the 2026 schedule came out. “No.” is their rank there.
Chiefs
- Patrick MahomesStarting QB · QB
2,037 passing yards · 14 TD, 4 INT · 67.3% completions · 8 games · 11th in the NFL in passing yards
Patrick Mahomes to stay with Kansas City Chiefs
“QB Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs ... the dozen players that most likely won't be traded” the article →
Patrick Mahomes to be 1st on the depth chart
“Signs are pointing toward Patrick Mahomes being out there... if he's on the field, he's out there not because they think he's 85%.” the article →
- Kenneth Walker IIIRB1 · RB
872 rushing yards on 159 carries · 11 TD · 26 catches for 172 · 8 games · 2nd in the NFL in rushing yards
Kenneth Walker III to win MVP
“If he stays healthy, Walker has a good chance at becoming the fitst non-quarterback to win league MVP since Adrian Peterson did so back in 2012.” the article →
Kenneth Walker III to finish top 4 at his position, by fantasy points
“Fitz, where is Kenneth Walker for the rest of the season? Running back four, behind the big three of Gibbs, Bijan, and McCaffrey.” the article →
- Josh DownsWR1 · WR
33 catches for 354 yards · 1 TD · 9 games · 51st in the NFL in receiving yards
Josh Downs to move to Pittsburgh Steelers
“Trade 4 Steelers receive: Josh Downs Colts receive: 2027 third-round pick” the article →
Josh Downs to move to Los Angeles Rams
“What about the Rams? ... And I think if Downs went to the Rams, I could see having him as a wide receiver three the rest of the way.” the article →
- Travis KelceTE1 · TE
33 catches for 482 yards · 2 TD · 8 games · 26th in the NFL in receiving yards
Travis Kelce to finish top 8 at his position, by fantasy points
“Travis Kelsey at tight end rest of season. Where is he at for you, Fitz? TE8.” the article →
Travis Kelce to record 78 receptions
“If Kelce continues to average 4.6 receptions per game, he will finish the year with 78 catches if he plays all 17 games at the average.” the article →
- George KarlaftisSack leader · DE
4 sacks · 14 solo tackles · 1 interception · 8 games · 30th in the NFL in sacks
George Karlaftis to be 1st on the depth chart
“are expected to start George Karlaftis and Ashton Gillotte on the edge, with rookie R Mason Thomas sprinkled in” the article →
- Nick BoltonTackle leader · LB
38 solo tackles · 8 games · 11th in the NFL in solo tackles
Raiders
- Fernando MendozaStarting QB · QB
48 passing yards · 0 TD, 0 INT · 75.0% completions · 1 game · 52nd in the NFL in passing yards
Fernando Mendoza to be 1st on the depth chart
“Making this trade even more notable is that the Raiders, who received a third-round pick in exchange for Cousins, will now give the keys to the offense to No. 1 overall pick Fernando Mendoza.” the article →
Fernando Mendoza to be 1st on the depth chart
“We don’t know what the Raiders’ internal timetable is for the switch from veteran QB Kirk Cousins to No. 1 draft pick Fernando Mendoza, but it’s possible the team could make that change soon. For the Raiders, this season is all about the transition to Mendoza as the starter.” the article →
- Ashton JeantyRB1 · RB
362 rushing yards on 114 carries · 4 TD · 42 catches for 371 · 9 games · 27th in the NFL in rushing yards
Ashton Jeanty to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
“With Klint Kubiak in town, Fernando Mendoza or Kirk Cousins at the helm, a healthy Brock Bowers, and improved blocking up front, Jeanty could be poised to post a strong RB1 season in his second season.” the article →
Ashton Jeanty to disappoint at the next level
“But if Jeanty keeps picking up only 3.1 yards per carry, he may cede further touches to Washington and settle in as a passing-game specialist. That would be a monumental disappointment given the investment the Raiders made in him at the draft.” the article →
- Tre TuckerWR1 · WR
33 catches for 529 yards · 4 TD · 9 games · 20th in the NFL in receiving yards
Tre Tucker to be 1st on the depth chart
“Tre Tucker erupted for 5-119-1 on seven targets Sunday against the Chargers and has to be considered the Raiders' No. 1 receiver.” the article →
Tre Tucker to play out his deal with no new contract
“I believe Tucker will not sign with the Raiders for less than Jalen Nailor’s $12 million per year.” the article →
- Brock BowersTE1 · TE
48 catches for 658 yards · 6 TD · 7 games · 10th in the NFL in receiving yards
“But, you know, the Raiders, I... Bauer still doesn't practice. Seems unlikely that he plays this week.” the article →
Brock Bowers to outplay his draft cost (anywhere in the back half of the second round in 12-team drafts)
“I think tight end is worth paying up for this year, and I'm willing to take Brock Bowers anywhere in the back half of the second round in 12-team drafts.” the article →
- Maxx CrosbySack leader · DE
4 sacks · 11 solo tackles · 9 games · 30th in the NFL in sacks
Maxx Crosby to move to Las Vegas Raiders
“the Raiders... have really slow start written all over them to the point where they could be trading Max Crosby before the deadline” the article →
Maxx Crosby to stay with Las Vegas Raiders
“He isn't seeking or asking for a trade, and the Raiders aren't asking for or seeking offers... Nothing is imminent, nor is anything in the works at the time of this writing, but there is a market, there is interest, and that means in the NFL, it isn’t probable, but possible.” the article →
- Jeremy ChinnTackle leader · S
1 sack · 44 solo tackles · 1 interception · 9 games · 4th in the NFL in solo tackles
Jeremy Chinn to stay with Las Vegas Raiders
“I think it would take at least a fifth-round pick for consideration, which I am unsure is possible, and a fourth would be a must for the Raiders. I don’t see that at all.” the article →
Every call on Chiefs at Raiders
1–25 of 35
Las Vegas Raiders to beat Kansas City
Kansas City will have a better record this season when it's all said and done, but I'm picking LV to hand Andy Reid's squad its first defeat of 2026.
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Raiders
I'll roll with the Chiefs here in a one-score victory that sends folks into the bye week still not completely sold on the offense or defense
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Raiders
The Raiders will make it interesting, and Chiefs Kingdom may be holding their breath late, but Kansas City has too many weapons and too much experience in close games to let this one slip away.
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Raiders
All in all, I think the Chiefs are the better team, but the Raiders have some key places to search for advantages. I'll ride with the better overall squad in a close game.
Kansas City Chiefs 23 — Las Vegas Raiders 21
Bobby Kownack: Kansas City Chiefs 23-21
Kansas City Chiefs 27 — Las Vegas Raiders 24
Dan Parr: Kansas City Chiefs 27-24
Las Vegas Raiders 26 — Kansas City Chiefs 24
Brooke Cersosimo: Las Vegas Raiders 26-24
Kansas City Chiefs 24 — Las Vegas Raiders 20
Gennaro Filice: Kansas City Chiefs 24-20
Kansas City Chiefs 28 — Las Vegas Raiders 21
Jeremy Bergman: Kansas City Chiefs 28-21
Kansas City Chiefs 27 — Raiders 20
Maldonado's pick: Chiefs 27, Raiders 20
Kansas City Chiefs 30 — Raiders 24
Moody's pick: Chiefs 30, Raiders 24
Las Vegas Raiders 24 — Chiefs 22
Walder's pick: Raiders 24, Chiefs 22
Kansas City Chiefs 30 — Raiders 23
PICK: Chiefs (-4.5) 30-23 over Raiders
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Vegas
I think the Raiders are going to be able to score, but I think the Chiefs are going to score 30. So this feels to me like 30 to 24, 31 to 23, something in that range.
Kansas City Chiefs 24 — Raiders 20
I'm gonna have them cover. I'm gonna have the Chiefs win twenty four twenty.
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Raiders
I do think the Chiefs win, but I think the Raiders are playing really damn good football.
Las Vegas Raiders to beat Chiefs
The Raiders will upset Mahomes and the Chiefs to take sole possession of first place in the AFC West entering Week 5. ... Crosby and the surprisingly frisky Raiders will shock the world on Sunday with an upset victory over the Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Raiders
SportsLine expert Eric Cohen likes the Chiefs over the Raiders.
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Las Vegas Raiders
I'm taking the Kansas City Chiefs on the road to beat the Las Vegas Raiders... I think they're going to win by two touchdowns.
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Las Vegas Raiders
I'm going to give Kansas City the win in this one.
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders: Week 4 vs. Chiefs ... Kansas City is a 4.5-point road favorite in Las Vegas this week, and I think it'll end up easier than that.
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Las Vegas Raiders
I think that this is a game Kansas City leads by seven points, basically start to finish... So it's an important game. I expect the Chiefs to win it.
Kansas City Chiefs 31 — Raiders 24
I think this is a high scoring Chiefs in control affair, thirty one twenty four type of game that the Chiefs win.
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Raiders
Yeah. I mean, I'll go Chiefs. It's a little bit of a see it to believe it type thing
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Raiders
So I'm also going Chiefs, though.