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Jordan Foote· Oct 4, 2026

Foote doubts the Raiders' hot start is sustainable and picks the Chiefs to win on the road by one score.

“I'll roll with the Chiefs here in a one-score victory”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Kansas City Chiefs to beat Raiders

    “I'll roll with the Chiefs here in a one-score victory that sends folks into the bye week still not completely sold on the offense or defense”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+183 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    30-27
    skill:
    183
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LV
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15

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