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Writes at Sports Illustrated
Across 38 graded calls in 10 articles, Dan Parr scores 72.71% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 56.39, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #6 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 39 calls · one square per call
17hits45% of graded
17Close45%
4misses11%
1
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
38 graded calls in 10 articles, newest first — page 1 of 2. Every take from Dan Parr, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Buffalo Bills to beat Vikings
“Dan Parr: Bills”
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Dan Parr would be #16; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #6.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bryan DeArdo | 64.4 | 84.97% | 25 |
| 5 | Tom Pelissero | 60.08 | 82.13% | 38 |
| 6 | Dan Parr | 56.39 | 72.71% | 38 |
| 7 | Donnie Druin | 56.31 | 96.43% | 16 |
| 8 | Pat Fitzmaurice | 54.16 | 67.53% | 129 |
Closing line (Nov 9): Bills by 3 · favorite pick, Bills 62%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Cardinals
“Dan Parr: Seahawks”
Closing line (Nov 8): Seahawks by 8.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 4 in 5 (79%).
Chicago Bears to beat Seahawks
“Dan Parr: Bears”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, Bears 40%.
Chicago Bears to beat Seattle Seahawks
“Dan Parr, NFL.com : Chicago Bears”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, Bears 40%.
New York Jets 22 — Dolphins 18
“Dan Parr: Jets 22, Dolphins 18”
Closing line (Oct 25): Jets by 3.5, total 39.5 · this 22–18 calls a bigger Jets win (by 4) and more points (40).
Indianapolis Colts 27 — Titans 20
“Dan Parr: Colts 27, Titans 20”
Closing line (Oct 18): Colts by 6.5, total 43.5 · this 27–20 calls a bigger Colts win (by 7) and more points (47).