Dan Parr· Oct 4, 2026
Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, taking the 49ers to move to 4-0 over Denver, the Saints at home on Monday night and the Steelers in Cleveland.
“It won't come easy, but I'm expecting the Niners to be 4-0 entering Week 5 for the first time since 2023.”
published in writing · read the original →
16 checkable claims — 16 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 16 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 16 have settled so far, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 10.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Colts at Commanders 24 calls
- Cowboys at Texans 31 calls
- Packers at Buccaneers 22 calls
- Rams at Eagles 28 calls
- Titans at Ravens 17 calls
- Patriots at Bills 36 calls
- Jets at Bears 26 calls
- Cardinals at Giants 20 calls
- Jaguars at Bengals 30 calls
- Dolphins at Vikings 23 calls
- Chiefs at Raiders 35 calls
- Chargers at Seahawks 25 calls
- Broncos at 49ers 27 calls
- Lions at Panthers 42 calls
- Falcons at Saints 21 calls
- Browns at Steelers 10 calls
16 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsIndianapolis ColtsOct 4, 2026
Indianapolis Colts 23 — Washington Commanders 20
“Dan Parr: Indianapolis Colts 23-20”
Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 10.86+102.13 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 30-13
- skill:
- 102.13
- they picked:
- IND
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 66.67
- baseline:
- 10.86
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- naive home margin:
- 0.56
- predicted margin:
- 3
- Score PredictionsChicago BearsOct 4, 2026
Chicago Bears 24 — New York Jets 20
“Dan Parr: Chicago Bears 24-20”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsJacksonville JaguarsOct 4, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars 27 — Cincinnati Bengals 26
“Dan Parr: Jacksonville Jaguars 27-26”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsArizona CardinalsOct 4, 2026
Arizona Cardinals 21 — New York Giants 19
“Dan Parr: Arizona Cardinals 21-19”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsSan Francisco 49ersOct 4, 2026
San Francisco 49ers 28 — Denver Broncos 26
“Dan Parr: San Francisco 49ers 28-26”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsDetroit LionsOct 4, 2026
Detroit Lions 37 — Carolina Panthers 28
“Dan Parr: Detroit Lions 37-28”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsNew Orleans SaintsOct 4, 2026
New Orleans Saints 34 — Atlanta Falcons 31
“Dan Parr: New Orleans Saints 34-31”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsPittsburgh SteelersOct 4, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers 20 — Cleveland Browns 16
“Dan Parr: Pittsburgh Steelers 20-16”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsBuffalo BillsOct 4, 2026
Buffalo Bills 27 — New England Patriots 21
“Dan Parr: Buffalo Bills 27-21”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsHouston TexansOct 4, 2026
Houston Texans 27 — Dallas Cowboys 23
“Dan Parr: Houston Texans 27-23”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsLos Angeles RamsOct 4, 2026
Los Angeles Rams 24 — Philadelphia Eagles 20
“Dan Parr: Los Angeles Rams 24-20”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsGreen Bay PackersOct 4, 2026
Green Bay Packers 21 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17
“Dan Parr: Green Bay Packers 21-17”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsMinnesota VikingsOct 4, 2026
Minnesota Vikings 30 — Miami Dolphins 10
“Dan Parr: Minnesota Vikings 30-10”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsKansas City ChiefsOct 4, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs 27 — Las Vegas Raiders 24
“Dan Parr: Kansas City Chiefs 27-24”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsBaltimore RavensOct 4, 2026
Baltimore Ravens 23 — Tennessee Titans 16
“Dan Parr: Baltimore Ravens 23-16”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Score PredictionsSeattle SeahawksOct 4, 2026
Seattle Seahawks 26 — Los Angeles Chargers 17
“Dan Parr: Seattle Seahawks 26-17”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Christian BooherDepth Chart Calls · Blake MillerMiss · 0Booher lays out the Lions' projected depth chart for their Week 4 game at Carolina, naming starters, backups and reserves at every position, and suggests safety Bishop Fitzgerald could make his debut.
- Brooke CersosimoScore Predictions · Indianapolis ColtsClose · 64Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including the Bears over the Jets, the Cowboys in the Battle for Texas and an upset of the Chiefs by the undefeated Raiders.
- Gennaro FiliceScore Predictions · Indianapolis ColtsClose · 76Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including the Bills over a struggling Patriots offense, the Eagles over the Rams and the only Browns pick of the panel.
- Bobby KownackScore Predictions · Indianapolis ColtsClose · 67Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including upsets by the Jets in Chicago and the Buccaneers over the Packers, plus the Jaguars at Cincinnati.
- Seth WalderScore Predictions · Indianapolis ColtsClose · 69Walder made a 'bold prediction' for each Week 4 game — including receiving and rushing yardage marks, sacks, an interception and a Dolphins upset — and picked final scores for all 15 games on the slate.
- Pamela MaldonadoScore Predictions · Indianapolis ColtsClose · 67Maldonado picked final scores for all 15 Week 4 games, including Denver upsetting the unbeaten 49ers and Atlanta winning in New Orleans.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jeremy PargoScore Predictions · Washington CommandersMiss · 19Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including an upset of the Colts by Washington in London and a Buccaneers win over the Packers.
- John BreechScore Predictions · Cleveland BrownsHit · 100Breech picked the Browns to edge the Steelers 19-16 on Thursday night and the Chiefs to beat the Raiders 30-23 in Week 4. He also indicated Caleb Williams would almost certainly miss Chicago's Week 4 game and that Jayden Daniels might play in London.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Cleveland BrownsHit · 95Prisco picked the Browns to beat the Steelers 21-20 on Thursday night and the Bengals to beat the Jaguars 23-17 in Week 4.
- Mike KadlickScore Predictions · Cleveland BrownsClose · 74Kadlick predicts Deshaun Watson throws for 300-plus yards against Pittsburgh on Thursday night, and that the Browns win their third straight game, beating the Steelers 24-10.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Cleveland BrownsHit · 95Prisco picks every Week 4 NFL game with final scores, including upsets by the Browns over the Steelers and the Eagles over the Rams, plus the winless Texans beating the Cowboys.
- Qiant "Q" MyersScore Predictions · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Q Myers predicted the Raiders would score around 26 points against the Saints while declining to call a winner, expected Brock Bowers to be back on the field Sunday, doubted safety Trayton Stukes would clear concussion protocol in time, and said the Saints have a strong chance to win the NFC South.