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Joshua Schulman· Oct 4, 2026

Schulman picks Las Vegas to hand Kansas City its first loss, expecting Brock Bowers and Ashton Jeanty to exploit a Chiefs defense he believes will be exposed.

“I'm picking LV to hand Andy Reid's squad its first defeat of 2026.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Las Vegas Raiders to beat Kansas City

    “Kansas City will have a better record this season when it's all said and done, but I'm picking LV to hand Andy Reid's squad its first defeat of 2026.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    30-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LV
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LV
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15

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