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John Middlekauff· Oct 16, 2026

Middlekauff argued the Seahawks will still reach double-digit wins once their running backs return, while the Broncos — despite Bo Nix's play — will land in the 10-to-12 win range. He also expected Houston to beat Jacksonville in London and offered availability calls on Snoop Huntley and Caleb Williams.

“I still will be stunned, assuming those guys can come back over the course of the next couple weeks, if this isn't a double-digit win team.”

said on air or in an interview · 3 and Out with John Middlekauff (podcast) · read the original →

5 checkable claims — 2 availability calls, 2 season win totals and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The game in this take

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Houston Texans to beat Jacksonville

    “Houston plays Jacksonville in London, which is a pretty big game for Houston... I kind of like Houston in that spot.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+172 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    HOU
    score:
    34-31
    skill:
    172
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    13

    Closing line (Oct 18): Jaguars by 2.5 · underdog pick, Texans 44%.

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  • “Caleb Williams, who's clearly back and going to play this week, is getting peppered about this hamstring injury. (Chicago at Atlanta)”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Seattle Seahawks to finish with 10–17 wins

    “I still will be stunned, assuming those guys can come back over the course of the next couple weeks, if this isn't a double-digit win team. Their coach is too good. Their defense is too good.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • “Sitting here right now on Thursday afternoon, I'm assuming Huntley's going to play. (Baltimore at Cleveland)”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • Denver Broncos to finish with ? wins

    “Denver's 4-2. They're clearly going to win a lot of games. I don't want to say a lot, like 10, 11, 12 range. 12 feels strong the way he's playing.”

    Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.

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What others said about the same people

More availability calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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