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Carter Bahns covers the NFL for CBS Sports and Sports Illustrated, writing on trade deadlines, player movement and game outcomes across the league. The work touches the Chiefs, Bears, 49ers, Raiders, Giants, Ravens, Lions and Cowboys, with predictions on players including Khalil Mack, J.J. McCarthy, Shedeur Sanders and Lamar Jackson.
More about Carter Bahns ↓Writes at CBS Sports
Across 36 graded calls in 22 articles, Carter Bahns scores 64.23% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 37.74, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #18 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard. Their strongest kind of call is Game Outcome Picks (91.67% accuracy across 14 graded calls); their weakest is Roster Spot Calls (0% across 12 graded calls).
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 304 calls · one square per 2 calls
16hits44% of graded
3Close8%
17misses47%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
Carter Bahns covers the NFL for CBS Sports and Sports Illustrated, writing on trade deadlines, player movement and game outcomes across the league. The work touches the Chiefs, Bears, 49ers, Raiders, Giants, Ravens, Lions and Cowboys, with predictions on players including Khalil Mack, J.J. McCarthy, Shedeur Sanders and Lamar Jackson.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
36 graded calls in 22 articles, newest first — page 1 of 2. Every take from Carter Bahns, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
268waitingnot graded yet
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Carter Bahns would be #39; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #18.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mike Kadlick | 41.13 | 56.03% | 46 |
| 17 | Nate Tice | 38.36 | 69.01% | 71 |
| 18 | Carter Bahns | 37.74 | 64.23% | 36 |
| 19 | Peter Schrager | 35.4 | 70.35% | 48 |
| 20 | Jake Ciely | 34.92 | 73.81% | 41 |
Atlanta Falcons 34 — Bengals 30
“Pick: Falcons 34, Bengals 30”
Closing line (Nov 8): Bengals by 3, total 52.5 · this 34–30 calls a Falcons win (by 4; the line gave the Falcons 38%) and more points (64).
Chicago Bears to beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers
“Chicago will be favored in its next two games at home against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and New Orleans Saints.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Bears by 6.5 · favorite pick, Bears 71%.
Buffalo Bills to beat Ravens
“Even if he returns in Week 8, his team will be in great danger of dropping a third consecutive game. The Bills enter the showdown off a bye and will be positioned well to outduel the Ravens in a shootout should two of the NFL's last three MVPs go head-to-head in a Jackson vs. Josh Allen classic. And if the Bills see Tyler Huntley instead, the shakiness of their defense might not matter much.”
Closing line (Nov 1): Bills by 3 · favorite pick, Bills 59%.
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Eagles
“One favorite that should feel confident, though, is Jacksonville. The Jaguars are touchdown favorites over the Eagles in London, and nobody foresees any funny business in the international contest.”
Closing line (Oct 11): Jaguars by 7.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 3 in 4 (76%).
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Eagles
“They should have a logistical advantage over the Eagles and Texans, and they are simply the better team in both matchups, too... looks poised to avenge last year's 35-7 loss in London with a pair of overseas wins.”
Closing line (Oct 11): Jaguars by 7.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 3 in 4 (76%).
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Texans
“They should have a logistical advantage over the Eagles and Texans, and they are simply the better team in both matchups, too... looks poised to avenge last year's 35-7 loss in London with a pair of overseas wins.”
Marvin Harrison Jr. to move to Houston Texans
“Mock trade No. 1 Texans receive: Marvin Harrison Jr. Cardinals receive: 2027 third-round pick”
Houston Texans to beat Tennessee Titans
“Houston should finally grab its first win of the campaign next week when it meets the Tennessee Titans in a matchup of two winless AFC South teams.”
Closing line (Oct 11): Texans by 6.5 · favorite pick, Texans about 3 in 4 (73%).
Houston Texans to beat Tennessee Titans
“Houston should finally grab its first win of the campaign next week when it meets the Tennessee Titans in a matchup of two winless AFC South teams.”
Closing line (Oct 11): Texans by 6.5 · favorite pick, Texans about 3 in 4 (73%).