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AJ Hawk· Oct 1, 2026

Hawk said his instincts were on Pittsburgh from the start and he stuck with the Steelers to win in Cleveland on Thursday night.

“I am going to stick with the Steelers minus two and a half on the road.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Pat McAfee Show (podcast) · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Browns

    “My instincts from the jump were the Pittsburgh Steelers. ... I am going to stick with the Steelers minus two and a half on the road.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CLE
    score:
    24-27
    skill:
    -183
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CLE
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15

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