Ty Schmit· Oct 1, 2026
Schmidt picked the Steelers to beat the Browns, arguing teams missing multiple offensive line starters play badly against fronts like Pittsburgh's, and he also said he doesn't believe Jerry Jones will pay Joey Porter Jr. right away in Dallas.
“So, yeah, I'm I'm gonna go with the the Steelers minus two and a half, and I'm fairly confident that, they'll get the job done.”
said on air, transcribed by us · The Pat McAfee Show (podcast) · read the original →
2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The game in this take
- Steelers at Browns 23 calls
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh SteelersOct 1, 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Browns
“I've seen firsthand hand what can happen when you have multiple o line starters down. ... I'm I'm gonna go with the the Steelers minus two and a half, and I'm fairly confident that, they'll get the job done.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CLE
- score:
- 24-27
- skill:
- -183
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CLE
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
Joey Porter Jr. to move to Dallas Cowboys
“Jerry gonna pay Joey Porter Junior before Joey Porter Junior plays for the Dallas Cowboys? How does this kind of unfold, do you think? I don't think so. ... But it sounds like, no. He's not gonna pay him right away.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+183 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 183
- player:
- Joey Porter Jr.
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- DAL
- was with:
- PIT
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- reported:
- traded → DAL (from PIT)
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
What others said about the same people
- Jeff CavanaughRoster Spot Calls · Hunter LuepkeHit · 100Jeff projected the Cowboys' offensive 53-man roster: nine offensive linemen (with Bass, Shelton, Leverett and Cornelius as the depth pieces and Nate Thomas and Keegan cut), three tight ends, Javonte Williams and Malik Davis atop the backfield, and five receivers with Mingo in and Camden Brown headed to the practice squad. He also gave reception and passing projections and said Jayshawn Barham will be starting before long.
- Jeff CavanaughRoster Spot Calls · Jonathan BullardHit · 100Building his projected Cowboys 53-man roster on defense, Jeff keeps five interior linemen (Kenny Clark, Quentin, Tito Obonia, LT Overton, Bullard), six edge rushers including Von Miller, Malachi Lawrence and Marist Liufau while cutting Sam Williams, four linebackers with Jayshawn Barham starting, six corners including rookie Devin Moore, and four safeties including Marquise Bell.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Pittsburgh SteelersMiss · 0Wright called the Chiefs the NFL's best team and predicted they'd control the Raiders on the road en route to the 12-5 season he had forecast, while also picking the Steelers, Bills and Vikings in Week 4. He expects Tyreek Hill to return to Kansas City, with his Arrowhead return coming Nov. 8 against the Jets, and sees Josh Simmons missing Week 4 but back by the Seahawks game.
- Chuck PaganoGame Outcome Picks · Pittsburgh SteelersMiss · 0Pagano picked the Steelers to win Thursday night in Cleveland, citing Pittsburgh's pass rush against a patched-together Browns offensive line and expecting a low-scoring rivalry game.
- AJ HawkGame Outcome Picks · Pittsburgh SteelersMiss · 0Hawk said his instincts were on Pittsburgh from the start and he stuck with the Steelers to win in Cleveland on Thursday night.
- Connor "Boston Connor" CampbellGame Outcome Picks · Pittsburgh SteelersMiss · 0After flirting with taking Cleveland because of the Browns' Thursday night home history, Connor landed on the Steelers to win the game.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Bill SimmonsGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100Simmons said he would be shocked if New England beat Jacksonville in Week 3, and expected Case Keenum to be the Bears' quarterback that week with Caleb Williams banged up.
- John HickmanGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Hickman picked the Texans to beat the Bengals in a high-scoring, close game at home, expecting Houston's defense to force a turnover or two, and said he expects Jadeveon Clowney to play.
- Big CatGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Big Cat expected the 49ers to beat the Cardinals easily and the Rams to beat the Broncos, agreed the Seahawks would beat Washington, and said he doesn't think DJ Moore will play.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Rogers made his own Week 2 calls, taking the Packers, Eagles (by at least 10), Panthers (by at least a field goal), Cowboys (by at least six), Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also noted Baltimore was his Super Bowl pick and said it wouldn't shock him if Jacksonville hosted the AFC Championship Game.
- Chris SimmsGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Simms went through every Week 2 game with predicted final scores, picking the Texans, Bears, Steelers (as an upset), Packers, Ravens, Eagles, Buccaneers, Panthers, Jaguars, Seahawks, Cowboys, 49ers, Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also reiterated that Denver was his preseason Super Bowl pick while predicting the Broncos would fall to 0-2.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Previewing Week 2, Long called New England a spot to bounce back against Pittsburgh, projected a 27-14 Patriots win, saw Eagles-Titans as a 23-10 grinder, liked the Rams' spot Monday night against the Giants, and wrote down a Bills 31, Lions 23 final for the Thursday nighter.