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Chris Simms#58 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 18, 2026

Simms went through every Week 2 game with predicted final scores, picking the Texans, Bears, Steelers (as an upset), Packers, Ravens, Eagles, Buccaneers, Panthers, Jaguars, Seahawks, Cowboys, 49ers, Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. They also reiterated that Denver was their preseason Super Bowl pick while predicting the Broncos would fall to 0-2.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast)Hear the original

4 of 13calls landed4 hits · 6 close calls · 3 misses · 1 waiting
57.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 13 calls
39.9A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
13Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#58Chris Simms’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Simms said

I'm gonna take the sealers to win this football. Win. I am. I'm gonna take them to outright win.
Chris Simms, the lead quote
Where it was said
Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast)
The episode
Week 2 Picks; Josh Allen scorches Lions on TNF
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidSep 18
  2. PlayedSep 20–21
  3. GradedSep 30

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Score Predictions3630
Game Outcome Picks1000
Super Bowl Picks0001
All4631

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

14 checkable claims — 12 score predictions, 1 game outcome pick and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

13 of 14 have settled so far, averaging 57.3 out of 100, against 39.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Score Predictions3 hits · 6 close calls · 3 missesShow ▸

  1. Carolina Panthers 21 — Falcons 17

    “I got the Panthers winning the football game. Where the hell was my score? Oh, 21 to 17.”

    Carolina Panthers

    Panthers 34–3called Panthers by 4 · won by 31
    50Close

    50 − 0 naive = 50 × 1.94 difficulty = +97 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Panthers by 2.5, total 43.5 · this 21–17 calls a bigger Panthers win (by 4) and fewer points (38).

    How this was scored
    score:
    34-3
    skill:
    97
    they picked:
    CAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    31
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    4
    Think this is wrong?

  2. Los Angeles Rams 28 — Giants 24

    “I got the Rams winning 2824, but I don't think this is one that's gonna be easy regardless.”

    Los Angeles Rams

    Rams 28–6called Rams by 4 · won by 22
    57.14Close

    57.14 − 50 naive = 7.14 × 1.94 difficulty = +13.86 skill

    Closing line (Sep 21): Rams by 6.5, total 47.5 · this 28–24 calls a closer game (Rams by 4) and more points (52).

    How this was scored
    score:
    6-28
    skill:
    13.86
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    57.14
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    4
    Think this is wrong?

  3. Houston Texans 23 — Bengals 20

    “I'm taking, the Texans here. I'm gonna take them 23 to 20.”

    Houston Texans

    Bengals 20–6called Texans by 3 · lost by 14
    23.81Miss

    23.81 − 18.75 naive = 5.06 × 1.94 difficulty = +9.82 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Texans by 3, total 45.5 · this 23–20 calls the line’s margin (Texans by 3) and fewer points (43).

    How this was scored
    score:
    20-6
    skill:
    9.82
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    23.81
    baseline:
    18.75
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    3
    Think this is wrong?

  4. Chicago Bears 31 — Vikings 27

    “I'm going with the bears here, thirty one twenty seven, to win the game, but they're not covering.”

    Chicago Bears

    Vikings 9–3called Bears by 4 · lost by 6
    45.24Close

    45.24 − 37.8 naive = 7.44 × 1.94 difficulty = +14.43 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Bears by 4.5, total 46.5 · this 31–27 calls a closer game (Bears by 4) and more points (58). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    score:
    9-3
    skill:
    14.43
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    45.24
    baseline:
    37.8
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    4
    Think this is wrong?

  5. Pittsburgh Steelers 23 — Patriots 21

    “this is gonna be one of my upsets of the week here... I got the Steelers winning this '1 2321”

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    Patriots 20–3called Steelers by 2 · lost by 17
    14.29Miss

    14.29 − 61.61 naive = −47.32 × 1.94 difficulty = −91.8 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Patriots by 4.5, total 41.5 · this 23–21 calls a Steelers win (by 2; the line gave the Steelers about 1 in 3 (34%)) and more points (44).

    How this was scored
    score:
    3-20
    skill:
    −91.8
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    14.29
    baseline:
    61.61
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    2
    Think this is wrong?

  6. Los Angeles Chargers 28 — Raiders 20

    “I'm having the chargers win the game here, and I'm gonna have them winning twenty eight twenty.”

    Los Angeles Chargers

    Raiders 26–14called Chargers by 8 · lost by 12
    40.48Close

    40.48 − 23.51 naive = 16.97 × 1.94 difficulty = +32.91 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Chargers by 6.5, total 43.5 · this 28–20 calls a bigger Chargers win (by 8) and more points (48).

    How this was scored
    score:
    26-14
    skill:
    32.91
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    40.48
    baseline:
    23.51
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    12
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    8
    Think this is wrong?

  7. San Francisco 49ers 34 — Dolphins 20

    “I originally picked the 40 niners 31 to 20... I'm gonna go make it 34 to 20.”

    San Francisco 49ers

    49ers 35–13called 49ers by 14 · won by 22
    80.95Hit

    80.95 − 50 naive = 30.95 × 1.94 difficulty = +60.05 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): 49ers by 12.5, total 44.5 · this 34–20 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 14) and more points (54).

    How this was scored
    score:
    13-35
    skill:
    60.05
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    80.95
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    14
    Think this is wrong?

  8. Dallas Cowboys 34 — Commanders 24

    “So I'm gonna go, Cowboys thirty four twenty four.”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Cowboys 37–20called Cowboys by 10 · won by 17
    83.33Hit

    83.33 − 61.61 naive = 21.72 × 1.94 difficulty = +42.15 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Cowboys by 3.5, total 51.5 · this 34–24 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 10) and more points (58).

    How this was scored
    score:
    20-37
    skill:
    42.15
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    61.61
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    10
    Think this is wrong?

  9. Green Bay Packers 24 — Jets 20

    “I'm gonna go with the Packers to win the game... I am gonna take the Packers 24 to 20 like I said.”

    Green Bay Packers

    Packers 20–17called Packers by 4 · won by 3
    97.62Hit

    97.62 − 44.94 naive = 52.68 × 1.94 difficulty = +102.2 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Packers by 3.5, total 44.5 · this 24–20 calls a bigger Packers win (by 4) and fewer points (44).

    How this was scored
    score:
    20-17
    skill:
    102.2
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    97.62
    baseline:
    44.94
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    4
    Think this is wrong?

  10. Philadelphia Eagles 27 — Titans 13

    “I'm going Eagles 27 to 13. I think it's just a slow beat down in this one.”

    Philadelphia Eagles

    Eagles 24–20called Eagles by 14 · won by 4
    76.19Close

    76.19 − 42.56 naive = 33.63 × 1.94 difficulty = +65.24 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Eagles by 7, total 39.5 · this 27–13 calls a bigger Eagles win (by 14) and more points (40).

    How this was scored
    score:
    24-20
    skill:
    65.24
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    76.19
    baseline:
    42.56
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    14
    Think this is wrong?

  11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27 — Browns 17

    “I have the Browns I mean, the Bucks winning 27 to 17.”

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Browns 23–19called Buccaneers by 10 · lost by 4
    35.71Miss

    35.71 − 42.56 naive = −6.85 × 1.94 difficulty = −13.28 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Buccaneers by 8.5, total 41.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger Buccaneers win (by 10) and more points (44).

    How this was scored
    score:
    23-19
    skill:
    −13.28
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    35.71
    baseline:
    42.56
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    10
    Think this is wrong?

  12. Jacksonville Jaguars 27 — Broncos 24

    “I'm going with the Jaguars to win the game. I'm gonna, I mean, flat out win the game. I'm gonna go twenty seven twenty four.”

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    Broncos 20–13called Jaguars by 3 · lost by 7
    40.48Close

    40.48 − 85.42 naive = −44.94 × 1.94 difficulty = −87.18 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Broncos by 2.5, total 45.5 · this 27–24 calls a Jaguars win (by 3; the line gave the Jaguars 43%) and more points (51).

    How this was scored
    score:
    13-20
    skill:
    −87.18
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    40.48
    baseline:
    85.42
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    3
    Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks1 hitShow ▸

  1. Seattle Seahawks to beat Arizona

    “I'm going to go Seattle winning the game... I picked the the Seahawks only win by a field goal.”

    Seattle Seahawks

    Seahawks 31–7Seahawks at Cardinals
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 1.94 difficulty = +194 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Seahawks by 3.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 2 in 3 (66%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    31-7
    skill:
    194
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    ARI
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?
Super Bowl Picks1 waitingShow ▸

  1. Denver Broncos to win the Super Bowl

    “I had picked Denver to win the Super Bowl... I can't even believe the team I picked to win the Super Bowl is gonna be o and two”

    Denver Broncos

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Carolina Panthers, Los Angeles Rams, Houston Texans, Chicago Bears, Pittsburgh Steelers, Los Angeles Chargers, San Francisco 49ers, Dallas Cowboys, Seattle Seahawks, Green Bay Packers, Philadelphia Eagles, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Jacksonville Jaguars, Denver Broncos

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

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