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Chris Simms· Sep 18, 2026

Simms went through every Week 2 game with predicted final scores, picking the Texans, Bears, Steelers (as an upset), Packers, Ravens, Eagles, Buccaneers, Panthers, Jaguars, Seahawks, Cowboys, 49ers, Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also reiterated that Denver was his preseason Super Bowl pick while predicting the Broncos would fall to 0-2.

“I'm gonna take the sealers to win this football. Win. I am. I'm gonna take them to outright win.”

said on air, transcribed by us · read the original →

14 checkable claims — 12 score predictions, 1 game outcome pick and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

13 of 14 have settled so far, averaging 57.3 out of 100, against 39.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

14 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Carolina Panthers 21 — Falcons 17

    “I got the Panthers winning the football game. Where the hell was my score? Oh, 21 to 17.”

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+97 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    34-3
    skill:
    97
    they picked:
    CAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    31
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Rams 28 — Giants 24

    “I got the Rams winning 2824, but I don't think this is one that's gonna be easy regardless.”

    Close · 57Scored 57.14a naive guess scored 50+13.86 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    6-28
    skill:
    13.86
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    57.14
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Houston Texans 23 — Bengals 20

    “I'm taking, the Texans here. I'm gonna take them 23 to 20.”

    Miss · 24Scored 23.81a naive guess scored 18.75+9.82 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    20-6
    skill:
    9.82
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    23.81
    baseline:
    18.75
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    3

    Think this is wrong?

  • Chicago Bears 31 — Vikings 27

    “I'm going with the bears here, thirty one twenty seven, to win the game, but they're not covering.”

    Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 37.8+14.43 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    9-3
    skill:
    14.43
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    45.24
    baseline:
    37.8
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Pittsburgh Steelers 23 — Patriots 21

    “this is gonna be one of my upsets of the week here... I got the Steelers winning this '1 2321”

    Miss · 14Scored 14.29a naive guess scored 61.61-91.8 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    3-20
    skill:
    -91.8
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    14.29
    baseline:
    61.61
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    2

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Chargers 28 — Raiders 20

    “I'm having the chargers win the game here, and I'm gonna have them winning twenty eight twenty.”

    Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 23.51+32.91 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    26-14
    skill:
    32.91
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    40.48
    baseline:
    23.51
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    12
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    8

    Think this is wrong?

  • San Francisco 49ers 34 — Dolphins 20

    “I originally picked the 40 niners 31 to 20... I'm gonna go make it 34 to 20.”

    Hit · 81Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 50+60.05 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    13-35
    skill:
    60.05
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    80.95
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    14

    Think this is wrong?

  • Dallas Cowboys 34 — Commanders 24

    “So I'm gonna go, Cowboys thirty four twenty four.”

    Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 61.61+42.15 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    20-37
    skill:
    42.15
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    61.61
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    10

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks to beat Arizona

    “I'm going to go Seattle winning the game... I picked the the Seahawks only win by a field goal.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+194 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    31-7
    skill:
    194
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    ARI
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17

    Think this is wrong?

  • Green Bay Packers 24 — Jets 20

    “I'm gonna go with the Packers to win the game... I am gonna take the Packers 24 to 20 like I said.”

    Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 44.94+102.2 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    20-17
    skill:
    102.2
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    97.62
    baseline:
    44.94
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Philadelphia Eagles 27 — Titans 13

    “I'm going Eagles 27 to 13. I think it's just a slow beat down in this one.”

    Close · 76Scored 76.19a naive guess scored 42.56+65.24 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    24-20
    skill:
    65.24
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    76.19
    baseline:
    42.56
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    14

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27 — Browns 17

    “I have the Browns I mean, the Bucks winning 27 to 17.”

    Miss · 36Scored 35.71a naive guess scored 42.56-13.28 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    23-19
    skill:
    -13.28
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    35.71
    baseline:
    42.56
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    10

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jacksonville Jaguars 27 — Broncos 24

    “I'm going with the Jaguars to win the game. I'm gonna, I mean, flat out win the game. I'm gonna go twenty seven twenty four.”

    Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 85.42-87.18 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    13-20
    skill:
    -87.18
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    40.48
    baseline:
    85.42
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.88
    predicted margin:
    3

    Think this is wrong?

  • Denver Broncos to win the Super Bowl

    “I had picked Denver to win the Super Bowl... I can't even believe the team I picked to win the Super Bowl is gonna be o and two”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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