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Writes at The 33rd Team
Across 35 graded calls in 9 articles, Chris Long scores 52.1% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -10.03, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 71 calls · one square per call
15hits43% of graded
3Close9%
17misses49%
36
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
35 graded calls in 9 articles, newest first — page 1 of 2. Every take from Chris Long, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Chris Long isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
New Orleans Saints to beat Browns
“the saints are probably not going anywhere, but they're they're gonna beat... They're they're gonna beat the Browns this week.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Saints by 4.5 · favorite pick, Saints about 2 in 3 (66%).
Indianapolis Colts to beat Cowboys
“Cowboys, Colts, the only thing that I think is interesting about this game is that Jonathan Taylor's probably... Like, I think it'd be really interesting if they don't play him at all, and Dallas is gonna lose that game somehow.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Cowboys by 4.5 · underdog pick, Colts about 1 in 3 (34%).
New England Patriots to beat Packers
“I think where the game gets won and lost for the Packers is up front on the offensive line. I just think the advantage is too too good, too big for, for New England. That's why why I would give them a slight edge in this game”
Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%.
Denver Broncos to beat Kansas City
“But the other thing is two things I think tilt the tilt the game in the direction of the Broncos, if I'm being honest.”
Closing line (Nov 1): Broncos by 1.5 · a toss-up, Chiefs 50%, Broncos 50%.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23 — Falcons 19
“Damn. I think I got the Bucks. Okay. I think I got the Bucks. I think I got the Bucks 23 to 19.”
Closing line (Nov 1): Buccaneers by 2.5, total 42.5 · this 23–19 calls a bigger Buccaneers win (by 4) and fewer points (42).
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Cleveland Browns
“But this is... The Steelers are better, you know, and they and they run the football... I think the Steelers have the edge in this one.”
Closing line (Nov 1): Steelers by 3.5 · favorite pick, Steelers 64%.
Minnesota Vikings to beat Indy
“it all comes down to Kyler Murray and this Vikings offense taking care of business, and and I don't see it for Indy... I do not see how Indy moves the ball.”
Closing line (Oct 25): Vikings by 6.5 · favorite pick, Vikings about 3 in 4 (73%).
Detroit Lions 27 — Green Bay 17
“I would go Detroit... It could be like it could be like Twenty seven seven. Twenty seven seventeen is exactly where I'm at.”
Closing line (Oct 25): Lions by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger Lions win (by 10) and fewer points (44).
Detroit Lions to beat Green Bay
“So I I just... I I am taking Detroit this week. I like Detroit. I'm not gonna make any, you know, bones about that.”
Closing line (Oct 25): Lions by 3.5 · favorite pick, Lions 63%.
Los Angeles Rams to beat Cardinals
“the Rams are going to kill these guys... I see how some big favorites have been beaten outright this year by underdogs, but it ain't happening in this game.”
Closing line (Oct 18): Rams by 12.5 · favorite pick, Rams about 5 in 6 (84%).
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Colts
“So I got I got the Steelers here. I I I do think it's a Steelers spot.”
Closing line (Oct 11): Steelers by 3 · favorite pick, Steelers 59%.
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Eagles
“They could lose this game, and I expect them to, and I will not blame the quarterback solely... Right now, the the Jags are better.”
Closing line (Oct 11): Jaguars by 7.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 3 in 4 (76%).
Houston Texans to beat Titans
“I I think the Titans, the Texans get their first win, though.”
Closing line (Oct 11): Texans by 6.5 · favorite pick, Texans about 3 in 4 (73%).
Cleveland Browns to beat Jets
“I'll go Browns. Okay. Browns winning four straight.”
Closing line (Oct 11): Jets by 2.5 · underdog pick, Browns 44%.