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Chuck Pagano· Oct 1, 2026

Pagano picked the Steelers to win Thursday night in Cleveland, citing Pittsburgh's pass rush against a patched-together Browns offensive line and expecting a low-scoring rivalry game.

“So I'm thinking, I'm thinking Steelers tonight.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Pat McAfee Show (podcast) · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Browns

    “So I'm thinking, I'm thinking Steelers tonight. ... I don't I don't see it happening tonight for them. Steelers minus two and a half in Cleveland to kick off week four”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CLE
    score:
    24-27
    skill:
    -183
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CLE
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15

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