Connor Rogers· Sep 18, 2026
Rogers made his own Week 2 calls, taking the Packers, Eagles (by at least 10), Panthers (by at least a field goal), Cowboys (by at least six), Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also noted Baltimore was his Super Bowl pick and said it wouldn't shock him if Jacksonville hosted the AFC Championship Game.
“Would it shock me if Jacksonville ended up being at home in the AFC championship game? No.”
said on air, transcribed by us · read the original →
9 checkable claims — 7 game outcome picks, 1 seeding, byes and home field and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
7 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 85.7 out of 100, against 42.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Eagles at Titans 38 calls
- Packers at Jets 14 calls
- Panthers at Falcons 19 calls
- Raiders at Chargers 11 calls
- Commanders at Cowboys 17 calls
- Colts at Chiefs 18 calls
- Giants at Rams 35 calls
9 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsSep 18, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to beat Giants
“I'm gonna have the Rams win. I'm going to have the Giants cover.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 6-28
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- LAR
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsSep 18, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Colts
“Man, this was a high confidence pick for me and the Chiefs.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 30-33
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles ChargersSep 18, 2026
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Raiders
“I think the if I had to pick someone to win, I still think the Chargers win.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LV
- score:
- 26-14
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LAC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LAC
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 18, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to beat Commanders
“I'm going with Dallas to win and cover in this game... I think they win by at least six points in this game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DAL
- score:
- 20-37
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DAL
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Game Outcome PicksCarolina PanthersSep 18, 2026
Carolina Panthers to beat Falcons
“For me, I went with Carolina. I think they win this game by at least the field goal.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+194 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CAR
- score:
- 34-3
- skill:
- 194
- they picked:
- CAR
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- ATL
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia EaglesSep 18, 2026
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Titans
“I'm Eagles win by at least 10 massive confidence”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+194 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PHI
- score:
- 24-20
- skill:
- 194
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- TEN
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay PackersSep 18, 2026
Green Bay Packers to beat Jets
“I don't think the Jets are gonna win this game. I know a lot of people are skewing that way.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+194 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 20-17
- skill:
- 194
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NYJ
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Seeding, Byes and Home FieldJacksonville JaguarsSep 18, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars to take the top seed
“Would it shock me if Jacksonville ended up being at home in the AFC championship game? No.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Super Bowl PicksBaltimore RavensSep 18, 2026
Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl
“I mean, Baltimore was my Super Bowl team Mhmm. Pick.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Fox SportsTrade and Signing Calls · Austin EkelerMiss · 0The piece reports, citing ESPN, that Carolina is expected to sign veteran running back Austin Ekeler with Jonathon Brooks sidelined.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Carolina PanthersClose · 50Simms went through every Week 2 game with predicted final scores, picking the Texans, Bears, Steelers (as an upset), Packers, Ravens, Eagles, Buccaneers, Panthers, Jaguars, Seahawks, Cowboys, 49ers, Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also reiterated that Denver was his preseason Super Bowl pick while predicting the Broncos would fall to 0-2.
- Chris LongScore Predictions · Philadelphia EaglesClose · 79Previewing Week 2, Long called New England a spot to bounce back against Pittsburgh, projected a 27-14 Patriots win, saw Eagles-Titans as a 23-10 grinder, liked the Rams' spot Monday night against the Giants, and wrote down a Bills 31, Lions 23 final for the Thursday nighter.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Chris SimmsGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Simms went through every Week 2 game with predicted final scores, picking the Texans, Bears, Steelers (as an upset), Packers, Ravens, Eagles, Buccaneers, Panthers, Jaguars, Seahawks, Cowboys, 49ers, Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also reiterated that Denver was his preseason Super Bowl pick while predicting the Broncos would fall to 0-2.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Previewing Week 2, Long called New England a spot to bounce back against Pittsburgh, projected a 27-14 Patriots win, saw Eagles-Titans as a 23-10 grinder, liked the Rams' spot Monday night against the Giants, and wrote down a Bills 31, Lions 23 final for the Thursday nighter.
- Phil SimmsGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0Phil Simms said the Giants can hang with and beat the Rams in their Monday night matchup, citing the Rams' sluggish showing in Australia and the Giants' offensive versatility.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.