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Chris WelshSep 7, 2025

Welsh backed the Broncos as their survivor pick over the Titans and suggested Chris Rodriguez is more likely than Bill Croskey-Merritt to start for the Commanders in Week 1.

Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

92Hit · out of 100
No. 2What happenedcalled No. 1 · by rushing yards
83.33A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
91.67This callout of 100
+16.67Skillafter difficulty

What Chris Welsh said

I'm in a survivor and I have the Broncos this week.
Our reading: Chris Rodriguez Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart
The episode
FantasyPros - The Extra Point: Week 1 Lineups, Survivor Picks, & Amari Cooper’s Retirement (Ep. 1691)
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidSep 6, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 91.7 out of 100, against 83.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

1They said
2What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Depth Chart CallsChris Rodriguez Jr.Washington Commanders

    Chris Rodriguez Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 2called No. 1 · by rushing yards
    91.67Hit · naive 83.33
    91.67this call83.33a naive guess8.34better than naive2difficulty+16.67skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    WAS
    skill:
    16.67
    player:
    Chris Rodriguez Jr.
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    83.33
    position:
    RB
    naive slot:
    4
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    rushing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

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