Tyler Sullivan#27 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 12, 2026
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.
Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original
What Tyler Sullivan said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromAll of this is a recipe for an upset.
- Where it was published
- CBS Sports
- The piece
- Pick Six: What to know about the NFL after the trade deadline, ahead of Week 10
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidNov 12
- PlayedNov 12
- GradedNov 13
- 1Washington Commanders 24 — Giants 21“Tyler Sullivan's pick: Commanders 24-21 over Giants”
- 2Pittsburgh Steelers 27 — Bengals 24“Tyler Sullivan — Steelers (+3.5) 27-24 over Bengals.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Commanders 24 — Giants 211 | Score Predictions | Commanders 24–21 | 100 | 42.81 | +85.79 | |
| Pittsburgh Steelers 27 — Bengals 242 | Score Predictions | — | — | — | — | |
| 2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting | 100 | 42.8 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 42.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Score PredictionsWashington Commanders
Washington Commanders 24 — Giants 21
What happenedCommanders 24–21called Commanders by 3 · won by 3100Hit · naive 42.81100this call−42.81a naive guess=57.19better than naive×1.5difficulty=+85.79skillClosing line (Nov 12): Giants by 1.5, total 40.5 · this 24–21 calls a Commanders win (by 3; the line gave the Commanders 47%) and more points (45).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 24-21
- skill:
- 85.79
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 42.81
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- naive home margin:
- −0.02
- predicted margin:
- 3
2Score PredictionsPittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers 27 — Bengals 24
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
The games in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
Others on the same people
Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Gilberto Manzano · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Manzano picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Browns, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech gave straight-up score predictions for every Week 10 NFL game, including the desperate Commanders beating the Giants on Thursday night, the Lions handling the Patriots in Munich, the Texans beating Deshaun Watson and the Browns, and the Bengals surviving the Steelers at home despite returning from Madrid.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin predicted final scores for seven Week 10 games, taking the Giants over the Commanders, the Lions, Chiefs, Packers, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens to win their respective matchups.