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Mike MoraitisOct 27, 2026

Surveying defensive tackle options for the Bears after DeForest Buckner was traded to San Francisco, Moraitis suggests Washington will sell at the deadline and move Daron Payne, and that a selling Tampa Bay could trade Vita Vea.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

Waiting2 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 2Settled2 still waiting
2Waitingnot graded yet

What Mike Moraitis said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Sitting at 1-4-1, the Washington Commanders are on the road to nowhere, so it's very possible they'll be sellers at the deadline and Payne is a clear trade candidate, as he's on the final year of his contract.
Mike Moraitis, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
49ers Trade For DeForest Buckner: Who Are Bears' Other DT Options on Trade Market?
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Daron Payne to move — “a clear trade candidate at the deadline”“it's very possible they'll be sellers at the deadline and Payne is a clear trade candidate, as he's on the final year of his contract.”
  2. 2Vita Vea to move — “could be on the move”“If they do sell, Vea could be on the move after the two sides had a contract dispute during the offseason”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Daron Payne to move — “a clear trade candidate at the deadline”1Trade and Signing Calls————
Vita Vea to move — “could be on the move”2Trade and Signing Calls————
2 calls · 2 waiting——

How each call scored

2 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsDaron Payne

    Daron Payne to move — “a clear trade candidate at the deadline”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Trade and Signing CallsVita Vea

    Vita Vea to move — “could be on the move”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.