Nate GosneyNov 12, 2026
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What Nate Gosney said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromHe is expected to play the rest of the season in Los Angeles.
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- Jim Harbaugh Calls For League Action After Rival Broncos Cancel Daiyan Henley Trade
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidNov 12
- GradedNov 13
- 1Daiyan Henley to stay with Los Angeles Chargers“He is expected to play the rest of the season in Los Angeles.”
- 2Daiyan Henley to sign a new deal with Los Angeles Chargers“with him likely being frustrated with the entire situation, likely essentially ending his chances of returning to the Chargers on a new contract after the 2026 season”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daiyan Henley to stay with Los Angeles Chargers1 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | 0 | 55 | −82.5 | |
| Daiyan Henley to sign a new deal with Los Angeles Chargers2 | Contract Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 2 calls · 1 miss · 1 waiting | 0 | 55 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive2 checkable claims — 1 contract call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 55 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Trade and Signing CallsDaiyan HenleyLos Angeles Chargers
Daiyan Henley to stay with Los Angeles Chargers
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 550this call−55a naive guess=−55worse than naive×1.5difficulty=−82.5skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −82.5
- player:
- Daiyan Henley
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he stays
- was with:
- LAC
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 55
- reported:
- traded → DEN
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- the naive guess:
- 55% of players are with the same club the next season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 9
2Contract CallsDaiyan HenleyLos Angeles Chargers
Daiyan Henley to sign a new deal with Los Angeles Chargers
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Thomas Martinez · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Hit 100
Martinez argues the Chargers will be sellers at the 2026 trade deadline, predicting Khalil Mack is dealt (for an early-to-mid Day 3 pick) and that linebacker Daiyan Henley could also be moved for a mid Day 3 pick, while suggesting the club acquire edge rusher Malik Herring and blocking tight end Ko Kieft for late-round picks.Kevin Wildes · Game Outcome Picks · Los Angeles Chargers · Miss 0
Wildes used their upset alert on the winless Chargers to beat the Rams.Greg Auman · Score Predictions · Los Angeles Chargers · Miss 21
Auman predicts an all-Los Angeles Super Bowl with the Chargers beating the Rams 24-21.Nick Wright · Game Outcome Picks · Los Angeles Chargers · Miss 0
Nick Wright ran through their projected 2025 records for all 16 AFC teams, calling Baltimore a 13-win regular-season juggernaut, Houston a 12-win team with the league's best defense, and going under on the Jets, Bengals, Steelers and Chargers; they also picked the Chiefs' game-by-game schedule to 12-5 and said Buffalo wins the AFC East.Eric Mangini · Game Outcome Picks · Los Angeles Chargers · Miss 0
Mangini took the Titans to upset the Texans, and in the chips segment backed the Chargers to upset Denver, the Patriots over the Raiders, and the Rams over the Bills.
More contract calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
John Middlekauff · Contract Calls · C.J. Stroud · Waiting
Middlekauff previewed Week 11, projecting the Commanders to finish with six or seven wins and the Giants with eight or nine, naming four AFC teams as playoff locks, and picking the Chiefs, Texans, Steelers and 49ers to win their games. Also predicted a top-15 draft slot for Charlie Becker and an eventual big contract for C.J. Stroud if the Texans finish strong.Tom Pelissero · Contract Calls · C.J. Stroud · Waiting
Pelissero picked the Jaguars as the AFC team to like most, said Lamar Jackson will not be cut or traded by Baltimore, and argued C.J. Stroud is heading for a contract that would make him the league's highest-paid quarterback at around $65 million per year.Zack Kelberman · Contract Calls · Ja'Quan McMillian · Waiting
Kelberman expects Talanoa Hufanga to return from their ankle injury for Denver's post-bye home game against the Raiders, and predicts the Broncos will use their newly created cap space to sign slot cornerback Ja'Quan McMillian to an extension in the coming days.Garrett Podell · Contract Calls · C.J. Stroud · Waiting
Podell ranks all 32 NFL starting quarterbacks entering Week 10 of the 2026 season, installing Joe Burrow at No. 1 and dropping Caleb Williams to 13th.Bradley Locker · Contract Calls · Dylan Parham · Waiting
In a midseason review of every team's highest-graded player, Locker suggests Penei Sewell is close to earning first-team All-Pro honors at left tackle (which would make them just the second player named at both tackle spots), and that Jets guard Dylan Parham may earn another contract from New York if their play holds up.