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Nate GosneyNov 12, 2026

After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 1 waiting
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
55A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Nate Gosney said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
He is expected to play the rest of the season in Los Angeles.
Nate Gosney, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Jim Harbaugh Calls For League Action After Rival Broncos Cancel Daiyan Henley Trade
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidNov 12
  2. GradedNov 13
  1. 1Daiyan Henley to stay with Los Angeles Chargers“He is expected to play the rest of the season in Los Angeles.”
  2. 2Daiyan Henley to sign a new deal with Los Angeles Chargers“with him likely being frustrated with the entire situation, likely essentially ending his chances of returning to the Chargers on a new contract after the 2026 season”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Daiyan Henley to stay with Los Angeles Chargers1Trade and Signing Calls—055−82.5
Daiyan Henley to sign a new deal with Los Angeles Chargers2Contract Calls————
2 calls · 1 miss · 1 waiting055

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 contract call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 55 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsDaiyan HenleyLos Angeles Chargers

    Daiyan Henley to stay with Los Angeles Chargers

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 55
    0this call55a naive guess−55worse than naive1.5difficulty−82.5skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    −82.5
    player:
    Daiyan Henley
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he stays
    was with:
    LAC
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    55
    reported:
    traded → DEN
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    1.5
    the naive guess:
    55% of players are with the same club the next season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    9
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Contract CallsDaiyan HenleyLos Angeles Chargers

    Daiyan Henley to sign a new deal with Los Angeles Chargers

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More contract calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.