Logan LazarczykNov 10, 2026
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What Logan Lazarczyk said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromIt wouldn't shock me in the slightest if Dallas offers a first-round pick plus for the two-time All-Pro pass rusher.
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- 3 Buzzer-Beater Moves Raiders Could Make at Trade Deadline
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidNov 10
- GradedNov 12
- 1Kirk Cousins to move to Minnesota Vikings“If Minnesota shows its desperation and offers a second-round pick, that deal should happen.”
- 2Brian Thomas Jr. to move to Las Vegas Raiders“If the Raiders can land the 2024 first-round pick for a second- or third-round pick, Spytek should pull the trigger.”
- 3Maxx Crosby to move to Dallas Cowboys“It wouldn't shock me in the slightest if Dallas offers a first-round pick plus for the two-time All-Pro pass rusher.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Cousins to move to Minnesota Vikings1 | Trade and Signing Calls | Ended up with LV/MIN | 100 | 0 | +150 | |
| Brian Thomas Jr. to move to Las Vegas Raiders2 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Maxx Crosby to move to Dallas Cowboys3 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 3 calls · 1 hit · 2 waiting | 100 | 0 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive3 checkable claims — 3 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Trade and Signing CallsKirk CousinsMinnesota Vikings
Kirk Cousins to move to Minnesota Vikings
What happenedEnded up with LV/MINcalled MIN100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.5difficulty=+150skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 150
- player:
- Kirk Cousins
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- MIN
- was with:
- ATL
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- how he left:
- traded
- mechanism:
- traded
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- LV/MIN
- weeks left when called:
- 9
2Trade and Signing CallsBrian Thomas Jr.Las Vegas Raiders
Brian Thomas Jr. to move to Las Vegas Raiders
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
3Trade and Signing CallsMaxx CrosbyDallas Cowboys
Maxx Crosby to move to Dallas Cowboys
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Charean Williams · Roster Spot Calls · Odell Beckham Jr. · Miss 0
Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad.Tom Pelissero · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Pelissero laid out the Giants' quarterback situation with Jameis Winston starting, said Jayden Daniels likely won't be back when Washington plays the Giants and that Caleb Williams is unlikely to play Monday night, and floated Joey Porter Jr. landing in Dallas and Kirk Cousins being traded in-season.Alex Curry · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be taken No. 1 overall by the Raiders and to be thrown into the starting lineup immediately, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta within weeks.Alex Curry · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick and land with the Raiders, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta.
More trade and signing calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Patricia Traina · Trade and Signing Calls · J.J. McCarthy · Hit 100
Traina expects defensive tackle to be a top need for the Giants in next year's draft, and suggests the Giants could trade J.J. McCarthy next offseason — or keep both them and Jaxson Dart if the return isn't good enough. They also expect Dart to make a full recovery.Michael David Smith · Trade and Signing Calls · Keenan Allen · Hit 100
Smith suggests the Colts are likely to grant Josh Downs' trade request given their contract situation and their recent sell-off, and that they could also try to trade Keenan Allen.Noah Compton · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Compton expects the rebuilding Colts to keep dealing veterans before the November 10 deadline, naming Jonathan Taylor, Josh Downs and Grover Stewart as the likeliest remaining trade candidates, and believes Indianapolis should and likely will move on from quarterback Daniel Jones, while Shane Steichen keeps starting Jones in the meantime.Mike Fanelli · Trade and Signing Calls · Keenan Allen · Hit 100
Fanelli suggested Keenan Allen may be dealt away from Indianapolis, with Week 9 potentially their final appearance for the Colts.Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.