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Chris RolingSep 10, 2026

Roling expects Sam Darnold's hip injury to keep them out, meaning Drew Lock will be Seattle's quarterback when the Chargers visit in Week 4.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

0Miss · out of 100
Depth Chart CallsThe callsettled
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
−200Skillafter difficulty

What Chris Roling said

Instead, they would line up against Drew Lock.
Our reading: Drew Lock to be 1st on the depth chart
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Chargers’ First Month Easier Thanks to Raiders, Seahawks…But They Need to Capitalize
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 10
  2. PlayedOct 4
  3. GradedOct 5

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Depth Chart CallsDrew LockSeattle Seahawks

    Drew Lock to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    SEA
    week:
    4
    skill:
    −200
    player:
    Drew Lock
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he starts
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    reported:
    he did not play that week
    naive slot:
    2
    settled by:
    weekly snap counts (he took no snap in the game)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he keeps the job he had last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

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