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Tyler Sullivan#27 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 14, 2026

The piece states that with Sam Darnold hurt, Drew Lock will likely start at quarterback for Seattle against Arizona.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

0Miss · out of 100
Depth Chart CallsThe callsettled
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
#27Tyler Sullivan’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Tyler Sullivan said

Drew Lock will likely be the starter against Arizona
Our reading: Drew Lock to be 1st on the depth chart
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
2026 NFL Week 2 early odds: Bills favored over Lions as Buffalo opens new stadium, Eagles road favorites
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 14
  2. PlayedSep 9
  3. GradedSep 17

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Depth Chart CallsDrew LockSeattle Seahawks

    Drew Lock to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    SEA
    week:
    1
    skill:
    −200
    player:
    Drew Lock
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he starts
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    quarterback
    reported:
    a different starter was named
    naive slot:
    2
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he keeps the job he had last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reported starter:
    Sam Darnold
    Think this is wrong?

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