Garrett Podell· Oct 2, 2026
In his Week 4 bold predictions, Podell picks the 3-0 Raiders to upset the Chiefs in Las Vegas, says Kyler Murray and the Vikings will cruise past the winless Dolphins while Murray sets Minnesota's single-game completion percentage record, and forecasts the Colts intercepting Marcus Mariota twice.
“Crosby and the surprisingly frisky Raiders will shock the world on Sunday with an upset victory over the Chiefs to become the first team in NFL history to start a season 4-0 after back-to-back 13-loss seasons.”
published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →
2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Dolphins at Vikings 23 calls
- Chiefs at Raiders 35 calls
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksLas Vegas RaidersOct 2, 2026
Las Vegas Raiders to beat Chiefs
“The Raiders will upset Mahomes and the Chiefs to take sole possession of first place in the AFC West entering Week 5. ... Crosby and the surprisingly frisky Raiders will shock the world on Sunday with an upset victory over the Chiefs”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 30-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LV
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LV
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- Game Outcome PicksMinnesota VikingsOct 2, 2026
Minnesota Vikings to beat Dolphins
“He'll complete at least 85% of his passes on Sunday in a cruise control victory against the Dolphins (Week 4)”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- MIN
- score:
- 10-15
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- MIN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- MIN
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
What others said about the same people
- Joshua SchulmanGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersMiss · 0Schulman picks Las Vegas to hand Kansas City its first loss, expecting Brock Bowers and Ashton Jeanty to exploit a Chiefs defense he believes will be exposed.
- Dan ParrScore Predictions · Minnesota VikingsClose · 64Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, taking the 49ers to move to 4-0 over Denver, the Saints at home on Monday night and the Steelers in Cleveland.
- Bobby KownackScore Predictions · Minnesota VikingsHit · 81Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including upsets by the Jets in Chicago and the Buccaneers over the Packers, plus the Jaguars at Cincinnati.
- Brooke CersosimoScore Predictions · Minnesota VikingsClose · 69Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including the Bears over the Jets, the Cowboys in the Battle for Texas and an upset of the Chiefs by the undefeated Raiders.
- Gennaro FiliceScore Predictions · Minnesota VikingsHit · 90Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including the Bills over a struggling Patriots offense, the Eagles over the Rams and the only Browns pick of the panel.
- Jeremy PargoScore Predictions · Minnesota VikingsClose · 71Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including an upset of the Colts by Washington in London and a Buccaneers win over the Packers.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Pete MartuneacGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100Martuneac expects the Bears to beat the Jets comfortably in Week 4, with Tyson Bagent playing efficiently, Dillon Thieneman picking off Geno Smith twice, and Colston Loveland breaking out as a two-touchdown receiver.
- Tyler BrownGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Brown expects a grind of a game that the Raiders keep close, but believes Kansas City's weapons and experience in tight games carry the Chiefs to the win.
- Jordan FooteGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Foote doubts the Raiders' hot start is sustainable and picks the Chiefs to win on the road by one score.
- Joshua BriscoGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Brisco expects the Raiders' edge rushers and Brock Bowers to create matchup problems, but picks Kansas City to win a close Week 4 game as the better overall team.
- Seth WalderGame Outcome Picks · Miami DolphinsMiss · 0Walder made a 'bold prediction' for each Week 4 game — including receiving and rushing yardage marks, sacks, an interception and a Dolphins upset — and picked final scores for all 15 games on the slate.
- Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Writing the counterpoint half of a paired preview, Huber laid out why Green Bay could be crushed in Tampa — heat, a league-worst running game against a stout Bucs front, and Todd Bowles blitzing a patchwork offensive line — but his own stated pick was that the Packers get the win they desperately need.