Steve Palazzolo· Oct 1, 2026
Palazzolo picked the Bears to beat the Jets outright, said Seattle would blow out the Chargers, and predicted the Raiders would upset Kansas City to go 4-0. He also referenced the Bengals as his Super Bowl pick and expected newly traded Joey Porter Jr. not to suit up in Week 4.
“Raiders cover and win four and o Raiders.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Check the Mic (podcast) · read the original →
5 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 1 availability call and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Jets at Bears 26 calls
- Chargers at Seahawks 26 calls
- Chiefs at Raiders 35 calls
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsOct 1, 2026
Chicago Bears to beat New York Jets
“I'm taking the Bears. Do you hear that Bears fans? I'm picking the Bears. Not just to win, to cover.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 12-23
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- Game Outcome PicksLas Vegas RaidersOct 1, 2026
Las Vegas Raiders to beat Kansas City Chiefs
“the Raiders are gonna do... It's all gonna continue... Raiders cover and win four and o Raiders”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 30-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LV
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LV
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksOct 1, 2026
Seattle Seahawks to beat Los Angeles Chargers
“Look at this. I've got Seattle by 12. Yeah. I got Seattle by a lot in this game. Yeah. I think the Chargers might get murdered in this game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SEA
- score:
- 23-30
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- Super Bowl PicksCincinnati BengalsOct 1, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals to win the Super Bowl
“Bengals, my Super Bowl pick, we... They're supposed to be on the ascent.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
“So Joey Porter Junior is going to Dallas. We'll talk more about that when we get to the Dallas game, even though I don't expect him to be playing this weekend.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Pete MartuneacGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100Martuneac expects the Bears to beat the Jets comfortably in Week 4, with Tyson Bagent playing efficiently, Dillon Thieneman picking off Geno Smith twice, and Colston Loveland breaking out as a two-touchdown receiver.
- Joshua SchulmanGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersMiss · 0Schulman picks Las Vegas to hand Kansas City its first loss, expecting Brock Bowers and Ashton Jeanty to exploit a Chiefs defense he believes will be exposed.
- Pete MartuneacScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 95Martuneac predicts the Bears beat the Jets 30-17 in Week 4, moving to 3-1, with Tyson Bagent starting and the offense scoring early and often.
- Gennaro FiliceScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 90Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including the Bills over a struggling Patriots offense, the Eagles over the Rams and the only Browns pick of the panel.
- Dan ParrScore Predictions · Chicago BearsHit · 83Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, taking the 49ers to move to 4-0 over Denver, the Saints at home on Monday night and the Steelers in Cleveland.
- Brooke CersosimoScore Predictions · Cincinnati BengalsClose · 50Picked winners and exact scores for every Week 4 game, including the Bears over the Jets, the Cowboys in the Battle for Texas and an upset of the Chiefs by the undefeated Raiders.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Tyler BrownGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Brown expects a grind of a game that the Raiders keep close, but believes Kansas City's weapons and experience in tight games carry the Chiefs to the win.
- Jordan FooteGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Foote doubts the Raiders' hot start is sustainable and picks the Chiefs to win on the road by one score.
- Joshua BriscoGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Brisco expects the Raiders' edge rushers and Brock Bowers to create matchup problems, but picks Kansas City to win a close Week 4 game as the better overall team.
- Seth WalderGame Outcome Picks · Miami DolphinsMiss · 0Walder made a 'bold prediction' for each Week 4 game — including receiving and rushing yardage marks, sacks, an interception and a Dolphins upset — and picked final scores for all 15 games on the slate.
- Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Writing the counterpoint half of a paired preview, Huber laid out why Green Bay could be crushed in Tampa — heat, a league-worst running game against a stout Bucs front, and Todd Bowles blitzing a patchwork offensive line — but his own stated pick was that the Packers get the win they desperately need.
- Conor OrrGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsMiss · 0He picked the Bills to defeat the Patriots in Week 4.