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Matt SeveranceSep 18, 2026

The CBS Sports preview backs Tampa Bay to beat Cleveland in the Bucs' Week 2 home opener, and states that Deshaun Watson — not Shedeur Sanders — will be Cleveland's starting quarterback in Week 2.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

100Hit · out of 100

Depth Chart CallsThe callsettled

0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

100This callout of 100

+194Skillafter difficulty

What Matt Severance said

I'm not really doubting a Tampa Bay win, and I'd sure think Cleveland can get a TD and a field goal

Our reading: Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart

Where it was published: CBS Sports
The piece: Browns vs. Buccaneers NFL parlay: It's Baker Mayfield's payback game, but Tampa Bay QB already has last laugh
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidSep 18
PlayedSep 20
GradedSep 21

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Depth Chart Calls Deshaun Watson Cleveland Browns
Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictHit
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.94difficulty+194skill
How this was scored
club:
CLE
week:
2
skill:
194
player:
Deshaun Watson
season:
2026
claimed:
he starts
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
QB
reported:
named the starter
settled by:
a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
difficulty:
1.94
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
17
Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Browns at BuccaneersBrowns 23Buccaneers 1910 calls →

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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