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Sam LovemanFeb 8, 2026

Loveman predicted the Seahawks would beat the Patriots in the Super Bowl, initially suggesting 31-21 and confirming that as their final score prediction, and also said the game would go over the 45-point total.

Said on air, transcribed by us · 95.7 The Game Weekends (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 4calls landed3 hits · 1 close call · all settled
86Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
41.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Sam Loveman said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think it should be like Seahawks 31, Patriots 21, something around there.
Sam Loveman, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
95.7 The Game Weekends (podcast)
The episode
Lubman and Chickering Hour 3: Super Bowl 60 Predictions
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidFeb 8
  2. GradedAug 13–14
  1. 1Mack Hollins to be 3rd on the depth chart“Matt Collins is getting very good for your number three receiver”
  2. 2Elijah Mitchell to be 2nd on the depth chart“Elijah Mitchell is probably the best running back that Kyle Shanahan has drafted, and he would be playing backup to Trevion Henderson.”
  3. 3Seattle Seahawks 31 — Patriots 21“I think it should be like Seahawks 31, Patriots 21, something around there. ... Anyway, again, I'm predicting what I say, thirty one twenty one. I guess that's gonna be my my prediction. Seahawks are gonna win.”
  4. 4Seattle Seahawks to beat Patriots“Seahawks are gonna win. Hopefully, I'm wrong.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Mack Hollins to be 3rd on the depth chart1Depth Chart CallsNo. 291.6783.33+8.33
Elijah Mitchell to be 2nd on the depth chart2Depth Chart CallsNo. 666.6766.670
Seattle Seahawks 31 — Patriots 213Score Predictions—85.7116.73+68.98
Seattle Seahawks to beat Patriots4Game Outcome Picks—1000+100
4 calls · 3 hits · 1 close call · all settled8641.7

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls, 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 86 out of 100, against 41.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

3They said
2What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Depth Chart CallsMack HollinsNew England Patriots

    Mack Hollins to be 3rd on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 2called No. 3 · by receptions
    91.67Hit · naive 83.33
    91.67this call83.33a naive guess8.34better than naive1difficulty+8.33skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    NE
    skill:
    8.33
    player:
    Mack Hollins
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    83.33
    position:
    WR
    naive slot:
    4
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    receptions
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Depth Chart CallsElijah Mitchell

    Elijah Mitchell to be 2nd on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 6called No. 2 · by rushing yards
    66.67Close · naive 66.67
    66.67this call66.67a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    KC
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Elijah Mitchell
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    66.67
    baseline:
    66.67
    position:
    RB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    rushing yards
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Score PredictionsSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks 31 — Patriots 21

    VerdictHit
    85.71Hit · naive 16.73
    85.71this call16.73a naive guess68.98better than naive1difficulty+68.98skill

    Closing line (Feb 8): Seahawks by 4.5, total 45.5 · this 31–21 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 10) and more points (52).

    How this was scored
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    68.98
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    85.71
    baseline:
    16.73
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    10
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Game Outcome PicksSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to beat Patriots

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill

    Closing line (Feb 8): Seahawks by 4.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 2 in 3 (68%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    86naive 41.7

Who this take is about

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Others on the same people

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