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Tom Pelissero#5 of 87 NFL pundits · Jun 24, 2026

Guest-hosting, Tom Pelicero ran through the top offseason storylines and made a few concrete calls: Shedeur Sanders and Deshaun Watson will both still be on Cleveland's roster in September, Kyler Murray will win the Vikings' quarterback job, and Kirk Cousins looks like the Raiders' opening-day starter.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · 2 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 4Settled2 still waiting
#5Tom Pelissero’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Tom Pelissero said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I'd say he and Deshaun Watson, both on the team in September and quite possibly both play.
Tom Pelissero, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 3: Tom Pelissero’s Top NFL Storylines Power Rankings, Brock Lesnar’s Vikings Tryout & More
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidJun 24
  2. GradedOct 1
  1. 1Deshaun Watson to make the roster“I'd say he and Deshaun Watson, both on the team in September and quite possibly both play.”
  2. 2Shedeur Sanders to make the roster“If I were sitting here right now, June 24 and had to make an educated guess, I'd say he and Deshaun Watson, both on the team in September and quite possibly both play.”
  3. 3Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart“Who's the Vikings starting quarterback? ... If I were sitting here right now and had to take a guess, I'd still say it's Kyler Murray.”
  4. 4Kirk Cousins to be 1st on the depth chart“they also bring in Kirk Cousins who, for Kirk, as a part of the deal that brings him there. It seems based on all the public comments, like, he's probably the starter out of the gate.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Deshaun Watson to make the roster1Roster Spot Calls4 weeks on a 531000+200
Shedeur Sanders to make the roster2Roster Spot Calls4 weeks on a 531001000
Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart3Depth Chart Calls————
Kirk Cousins to be 1st on the depth chart4Depth Chart Calls————
4 calls · 2 hits · 2 waiting10050

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls and 2 roster spot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Kirk Cousins · 2026 season

28 calls from 26 pundits between 1 and 1. Tom Pelissero said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet

Tom Pelissero — 1the room — 28 calls from 26 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

  1. What happened4 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CLE
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Deshaun Watson
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  2. What happened4 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CLE
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Shedeur Sanders
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Depth Chart CallsKyler MurrayMinnesota Vikings

    Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Depth Chart CallsKirk CousinsLas Vegas Raiders

    Kirk Cousins to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 50

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.