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Alex CurryFeb 28, 2026

Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick and land with the Raiders, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta.

Said on air or in an interview · Fox Sports Radio (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
25A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Alex Curry said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
He's going to end up the first overall pick and end up in Las Vegas.
Alex Curry, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Alex Curry & Carmen Vitali Talk NFL Combine, LeBron's Future & More!
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 28
  2. GradedAug 13–Nov 11
  1. 1Kirk Cousins to move to Atlanta Falcons“But Kirk Cousins is going to be released by Atlanta in a couple of weeks, right?”
  2. 2Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1“if everything goes away we think it should go, he's going to end up the first overall pick and end up in Las Vegas... Fernando Mendoza will go number one to the Raiders”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Kirk Cousins to move to Atlanta Falcons1Trade and Signing Calls—1000+200
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 12Mock Draft PicksWent 110050—
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled10025

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsKirk CousinsAtlanta Falcons

    Kirk Cousins to move to Atlanta Falcons

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Kirk Cousins
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    ATL
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    traded (from LV)
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    What happenedWent 1mocked at 1
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 25

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