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Shannon Sharpe#42 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 29, 2025

Sharpe picks McMillan to win Offensive Rookie of the Year over Tyler Shough, and says Saints rookie Tyler Shough has locked down the starting quarterback job in New Orleans.

Said on air or in an interview · Nightcap (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
45.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#42Shannon Sharpe’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Shannon Sharpe said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think McMillan's gonna win it Rookie of the Year.
Shannon Sharpe, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Nightcap (podcast)
The episode
Nightcap Hour 2: Eagles SNEAK PASS the Bills + Drake Maye or Matthew Stafford for MVP? + Seahawks continue to CRUISE vs Panthers + Raiders CLOSE to SECURING #1 overall pick
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidDec 29, 2025
  2. GradedAug 6, 2026
  1. 1Tyler Shough to be 1st on the depth chart“since he's come back, he is not relinquished that starting spot. / Is not going to relinquish it.”
  2. 2Tetairoa McMillan to win Offensive Rookie of the Year“I think mc millan's gonna get it, I really do... I think McMillan's gonna win it Rookie of the Year.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Tyler Shough to be 1st on the depth chart1Depth Chart CallsNo. 110091.67+9.25
Tetairoa McMillan to win Offensive Rookie of the Year2Award PicksTetairoa McMillan won1000+111
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled10045.8

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 award pick and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 45.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Tyler Shough · 2025 season

3 calls from 3 pundits between 1 and 1. Shannon Sharpe said 1. the room's median is 1. what happened: 1

Shannon Sharpe — 1the room — 3 calls from 3 punditsmedian 1what happened — 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Depth Chart CallsTyler ShoughNew Orleans Saints

    Tyler Shough to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
    100Hit · naive 91.67
    100this call91.67a naive guess8.33better than naive1.11difficulty+9.25skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    NO
    skill:
    9.25
    player:
    Tyler Shough
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    1.11
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    2
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Award PicksTetairoa McMillan

    Tetairoa McMillan to win Offensive Rookie of the Year

    What happenedTetairoa McMillan won
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.11difficulty+111skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    offensive_rookie_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Jayden Daniels, who won it the year before
    skill:
    111
    player:
    Tetairoa McMillan
    season:
    2025
    who won:
    Tetairoa McMillan
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.11
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    2
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 45.8

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.