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Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Jun 26, 2025

Brockman said Tyler Shough will be the Saints' Week 1 starter and floated the Cowboys as a decent NFC sleeper.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 1 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
91.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
#36Chris Brockman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Brockman said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think we all presume he'll be the week one starter
Chris Brockman, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Top 5 NFL Sleeper Teams Of 2025
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidJun 26, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026
  1. 1Tyler Shough to be 1st on the depth chart“So, you know, to get this chance, I I think we all presume he'll be the week one starter”
  2. 2Dallas Cowboys to beat expectations“Cowboys would be a decent a NFC sleeper”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Tyler Shough to be 1st on the depth chart1Depth Chart CallsNo. 110091.67+16.67
Dallas Cowboys to beat expectations2Surprise Team Calls————
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting10091.7

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 91.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Depth Chart CallsTyler ShoughNew Orleans Saints

    Tyler Shough to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
    100Hit · naive 91.67
    100this call91.67a naive guess8.33better than naive2difficulty+16.67skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    NO
    skill:
    16.67
    player:
    Tyler Shough
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Surprise Team CallsDallas Cowboys

    Dallas Cowboys to beat expectations

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.