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Chris Brockman· Jun 26, 2025

Brockman said Tyler Shough will be the Saints' Week 1 starter and floated the Cowboys as a decent NFC sleeper.

“I think we all presume he'll be the week one starter”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 91.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Tyler Shough to be 1st on the depth chart

    “So, you know, to get this chance, I I think we all presume he'll be the week one starter”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    NO
    skill:
    16.67
    player:
    Tyler Shough
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Dallas Cowboys to beat expectations

    “Cowboys would be a decent a NFC sleeper”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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