Rafael ZamoranoSep 16, 2026
Zamorano reports Watson will start Week 2 at Tampa Bay and suggests there's little reason to expect improvement, raising the possibility Watson's five-year contract never yields more than single-digit wins.
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What Rafael Zamorano said
And if that’s the case, there’s a chance that Cleveland’s NFL-record five-year $230 million dollar fully guaranteed quarterback contract will never surpass single-digit wins over the course of its lifetime.
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- Deshaun Watson’s Self-Evaluation After Browns’ Week 1 Humiliation Adds Insult to Injury
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 16
- PlayedSep 20
- GradedSep 21
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Depth Chart CallsDeshaun WatsonCleveland Browns
Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.94difficulty=+194skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- CLE
- week:
- 2
- skill:
- 194
- player:
- Deshaun Watson
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he starts
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- reported:
- named the starter
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
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