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Rafael Zamorano· Sep 16, 2026

Zamorano reports Watson will start Week 2 at Tampa Bay and suggests there's little reason to expect improvement, raising the possibility Watson's five-year contract never yields more than single-digit wins.

“And if that’s the case, there’s a chance that Cleveland’s NFL-record five-year $230 million dollar fully guaranteed quarterback contract will never surpass single-digit wins over the course of its lifetime.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart

    “we already know Watson is set to keep the momentum going as he’ll start the Browns’ Week 2 contest against the Bucs, also on the road.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+194 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CLE
    week:
    2
    skill:
    194
    player:
    Deshaun Watson
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he starts
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    QB
    reported:
    named the starter
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    1.94
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17

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