Grant Cohn· Oct 9, 2026
Cohn predicts the 49ers beat the Seahawks in Week 5 in a low-scoring, field-goal-driven game, 16-13, citing San Francisco's better quarterback, play caller and more balanced offense against a one-dimensional Seattle attack missing its running backs.
“FINAL SCORE PREDICTION: 49ers 16, Seahawks 13.”
published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →
4 checkable claims — 2 availability calls, 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 21.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The game in this take
- 49ers at Seahawks 60 calls
4 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Score PredictionsSan Francisco 49ersOct 9, 2026
San Francisco 49ers 16 — Seahawks 13
“FINAL SCORE PREDICTION: 49ers 16, Seahawks 13.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 43.62+100.36 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 32-29
- skill:
- 100.36
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 43.62
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.32
- predicted margin:
- 3
Closing line (Oct 11): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 16–13 calls a 49ers win (by 3; the line gave the 49ers 40%) and fewer points (29).
- Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersOct 9, 2026
San Francisco 49ers to beat Seahawks
“That's why the 49ers will beat the Seahawks on Sunday.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+178 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 32-29
- skill:
- 178
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
Closing line (Oct 11): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, 49ers 40%.
“His replacements -- Zach Charbonnet and Jadarian Price -- both are injured, and neither will play on Sunday. (Week 5)”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
“His replacements -- Zach Charbonnet and Jadarian Price -- both are injured, and neither will play on Sunday. (Week 5)”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Brian PeacockTrade and Signing Calls · Jordan AddisonMiss · 0Peacock delivered a seven-round 49ers mock draft plus projected offseason moves: signing tight end Kyle Pitts, trading Mac Jones to Minnesota and acquiring Jordan Addison, and drafting speed at receiver, edge, safety, center, corner, running back and tackle, with 40-time projections for several prospects.
- Michael HanichRoster Spot Calls · George HolaniHit · 100After Seattle's Week 5 loss to San Francisco, Hanich argued running back George Holani has become too much of a liability to keep on the 53-man roster, while Emanuel Wilson will likely remain the team's lead back until Jadarian Price or Zach Charbonnet return.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Tice picked the Seahawks to beat the 49ers in Seattle in Week 5, citing Seattle's discipline, and said Seattle's defense is at worst the second-best in the league.
- Bobby KownackScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksClose · 45Kownack picked all Week 5 games with scores, including the Browns winning at the Jets to reach 4-1, the Broncos handling the Chargers, and the Giants upsetting Washington.
- Brooke CersosimoScore Predictions · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100Cersosimo picked winners and scores across the Week 5 slate, including the Vikings moving to 5-0 in New Orleans, the Browns at the Jets, the Colts at Pittsburgh and the Falcons over a Lamar-less Baltimore.
- Gennaro FiliceScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 38Filice picked every Week 5 game with scores, backing Cincinnati in a closer-than-expected game at Miami, the Patriots in a low-scoring home win, Houston to finally get off the schneid in Tennessee, and upsets by the Saints, Jets, Packers and Bills.
More availability calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Charean WilliamsAvailability Calls · Jeremiyah LovePendingWilliams suggests Cardinals running back Jeremiyah Love's lingering left ankle issue could sideline him for Sunday's game against the Rams, with the back possibly taking the week off.
- Jason La CanforaAvailability Calls · Lamar JacksonPendingLa Canfora argues Derrick Henry's historic early-season workload will continue, and notes the Ravens may again be without Lamar Jackson this week.
- Garrett PodellAvailability Calls · Joey Porter Jr.PendingPodell states that cornerback Joey Porter Jr., recovered from illness and more comfortable in the playbook, will be a full-time starter for Dallas in their Week 6 Sunday night game at Green Bay.
- Josh AlperAvailability Calls · Michael Penix Jr.PendingAlper suggests Michael Penix's full participation in Wednesday's practice indicates he will be healthy enough to start for the Falcons in their Week 6 game against the Bears.
- Rich HribarAvailability Calls · Bud DupreePendingPreviewing the Week 6 Chargers-Chiefs matchup, Hribar expects three Chargers defenders — Derwin James, Donte Jackson and Bud Dupree — to be sidelined for the game.
- John ShipleyAvailability Calls · Montaric BrownPendingPreviewing the Jaguars-Texans matchup, Shipley expects Montaric Brown to be unavailable, leaving Travis Hunter and Jarrian Jones as Jacksonville's two starting cornerbacks tasked with handling Nico Collins.