Brooke Cersosimo· Oct 10, 2026
Cersosimo picked winners and scores across the Week 5 slate, including the Vikings moving to 5-0 in New Orleans, the Browns at the Jets, the Colts at Pittsburgh and the Falcons over a Lamar-less Baltimore.
“The Vikings improve to 5-0 heading into the bye week.”
published in writing · read the original →
16 checkable claims — 15 score predictions and 1 availability call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 17 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
14 of 16 have settled so far, averaging 63.9 out of 100, against 46.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Eagles at Jaguars 33 calls
- Giants at Commanders 17 calls
- Texans at Titans 25 calls
- Colts at Steelers 21 calls
- Browns at Jets 19 calls
- Bears at Packers 49 calls
- Vikings at Saints 27 calls
- Raiders at Patriots 28 calls
- Bengals at Dolphins 16 calls
- Broncos at Chargers 34 calls
- 49ers at Seahawks 60 calls
- Lions at Cardinals 24 calls
- Ravens at Falcons 21 calls
- Bills at Rams 41 calls
16 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Score PredictionsLos Angeles RamsOct 10, 2026
Los Angeles Rams 32 — Buffalo Bills 27
“B. Cersosimo Los Angeles Rams 32-27”
Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 43.52+3.06 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 37-34
- skill:
- 3.06
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 45.24
- baseline:
- 43.52
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.28
- predicted margin:
- 5
Closing line (Oct 12): Rams by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 32–27 calls a bigger Rams win (by 5) and more points (59).
- Score PredictionsAtlanta FalconsOct 10, 2026
Atlanta Falcons 28 — Baltimore Ravens 22
“B. Cersosimo Atlanta Falcons 28-22”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 34.1+24.07 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 30-23
- skill:
- 24.07
- they picked:
- ATL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 47.62
- baseline:
- 34.1
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.32
- predicted margin:
- 6
Closing line (Oct 11): Falcons by 3.5, total 44.5 · this 28–22 calls a bigger Falcons win (by 6) and more points (50).
- Score PredictionsSan Francisco 49ersOct 10, 2026
San Francisco 49ers 26 — Seattle Seahawks 23
“B. Cersosimo San Francisco 49ers 26-23”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 43.62+100.36 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 32-29
- skill:
- 100.36
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 43.62
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.32
- predicted margin:
- 3
Closing line (Oct 11): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 26–23 calls a 49ers win (by 3; the line gave the 49ers 40%) and more points (49).
- Score PredictionsDenver BroncosOct 10, 2026
Denver Broncos 27 — Los Angeles Chargers 24
“B. Cersosimo Denver Broncos 27-24”
Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 36.48+100.36 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 23-17
- skill:
- 100.36
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 92.86
- baseline:
- 36.48
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.32
- predicted margin:
- 3
Closing line (Oct 11): Broncos by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 27–24 calls a closer game (Broncos by 3) and more points (51).
- Score PredictionsDetroit LionsOct 10, 2026
Detroit Lions 30 — Arizona Cardinals 27
“B. Cersosimo Detroit Lions 30-27”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+89 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 45-21
- skill:
- 89
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 24
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.32
- predicted margin:
- 3
Closing line (Oct 11): Lions by 5.5, total 55.5 · this 30–27 calls a closer game (Lions by 3) and more points (57).
- Score PredictionsGreen Bay PackersOct 10, 2026
Green Bay Packers 24 — Chicago Bears 23
“B. Cersosimo Green Bay Packers 24-23”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 7-31
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 50
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 24
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.88
- predicted margin:
- 1
Closing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 24–23 calls a Packers win (by 1; the line gave the Packers 47%) and more points (47).
- Score PredictionsNew England PatriotsOct 10, 2026
New England Patriots 26 — Las Vegas Raiders 23
“B. Cersosimo New England Patriots 26-23”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 17-45
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 50
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 28
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.88
- predicted margin:
- 3
Closing line (Oct 11): Patriots by 3.5, total 45.5 · this 26–23 calls a closer game (Patriots by 3) and more points (49).
- Score PredictionsMinnesota VikingsOct 10, 2026
Minnesota Vikings 23 — New Orleans Saints 21
“B. Cersosimo Minnesota Vikings 23-21”
Hit · 81Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 28.28+93.75 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 23-13
- skill:
- 93.75
- they picked:
- MIN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 80.95
- baseline:
- 28.28
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.88
- predicted margin:
- 2
Closing line (Oct 11): Vikings by 2.5, total 41.5 · this 23–21 calls a closer game (Vikings by 2) and more points (44).
- Score PredictionsCincinnati BengalsOct 10, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals 22 — Miami Dolphins 17
“B. Cersosimo Cincinnati Bengals 22-17”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 35.42+106.47 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 31-24
- skill:
- 106.47
- they picked:
- CIN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 95.24
- baseline:
- 35.42
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.88
- predicted margin:
- 5
Closing line (Oct 11): Bengals by 7, total 44.5 · this 22–17 calls a closer game (Bengals by 5) and fewer points (39).
- Score PredictionsCleveland BrownsOct 10, 2026
Cleveland Browns 20 — New York Jets 18
“B. Cersosimo Cleveland Browns 20-18”
Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 90.19-84.25 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 12-17
- skill:
- −84.25
- they picked:
- CLE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 42.86
- baseline:
- 90.19
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.88
- predicted margin:
- 2
Closing line (Oct 11): Jets by 2.5, total 38.5 · this 20–18 calls a Browns win (by 2; the line gave the Browns 44%) and fewer points (38).
- Score PredictionsIndianapolis ColtsOct 10, 2026
Indianapolis Colts 25 — Pittsburgh Steelers 24
“B. Cersosimo Indianapolis Colts 25-24”
Miss · 24Scored 23.81a naive guess scored 73.52-88.48 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 22-34
- skill:
- −88.48
- they picked:
- IND
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 23.81
- baseline:
- 73.52
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 12
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.88
- predicted margin:
- 1
Closing line (Oct 11): Steelers by 3, total 41.5 · this 25–24 calls a Colts win (by 1; the line gave the Colts 41%) and more points (49).
- Score PredictionsWashington CommandersOct 10, 2026
Washington Commanders 25 — New York Giants 21
“B. Cersosimo Washington Commanders 25-21”
Close · 65Scored 65.48a naive guess scored 72.91-13.23 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 27-27
- skill:
- −13.23
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 65.48
- baseline:
- 72.91
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.88
- predicted margin:
- 4
Closing line (Oct 11): Commanders by 3.5, total 41.5 · this 25–21 calls a bigger Commanders win (by 4) and more points (46).
- Score PredictionsHouston TexansOct 10, 2026
Houston Texans 23 — Tennessee Titans 19
“B. Cersosimo Houston Texans 23-19”
Close · 55Scored 54.76a naive guess scored 0+97.48 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 26-3
- skill:
- 97.48
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 54.76
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 23
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.88
- predicted margin:
- 4
Closing line (Oct 11): Texans by 6.5, total 37.5 · this 23–19 calls a closer game (Texans by 4) and more points (42).
- Score PredictionsJacksonville JaguarsOct 10, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars 24 — Philadelphia Eagles 20
“B. Cersosimo Jacksonville Jaguars 24-20”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 96.54-2.31 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 17-19
- skill:
- −2.31
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 95.24
- baseline:
- 96.54
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.55
- predicted margin:
- 4
Closing line (Oct 11): Jaguars by 7.5, total 41.5 · this 24–20 calls a closer game (Jaguars by 4) and more points (44).
- Score PredictionsDallas CowboysOct 10, 2026
Dallas Cowboys 32 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16
“B. Cersosimo Dallas Cowboys 32-16”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Availability CallsTyler HuntleyBaltimore RavensOct 10, 2026
“If he can't go, Tyler Huntley would make his first start of the season. (Week 5 vs. Falcons)”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Adam CarlsonTrade and Signing Calls · Jordan AddisonMiss · 0Carlson names three Vikings he expects could be traded before the end of September: quarterback J.J. McCarthy, wide receiver Jordan Addison and linebacker Ivan Pace.
- Brian PeacockTrade and Signing Calls · Jordan AddisonMiss · 0Peacock delivered a seven-round 49ers mock draft plus projected offseason moves: signing tight end Kyle Pitts, trading Mac Jones to Minnesota and acquiring Jordan Addison, and drafting speed at receiver, edge, safety, center, corner, running back and tackle, with 40-time projections for several prospects.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 48Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Bills in the Week 5 Monday night game, projecting a 28-24 final score as Los Angeles' Nacua-Adams-Williams trio proves too much for Buffalo's defense.
- Anthony "Tone Digz" DiGuilioGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night because of their defense.
- Darius ButlerGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Said Brian Flores could be Coach of the Year for what he is doing with the Vikings defense, and picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night with Stafford outplaying Josh Allen.
- Pat McAfeeGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Picked the Rams to beat the Bills in the Monday night game at SoFi Stadium.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Dajani picked the Bills to beat the Rams 30-27 on Monday night.
- Gennaro FiliceScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 95Filice picked every Week 5 game with scores, backing Cincinnati in a closer-than-expected game at Miami, the Patriots in a low-scoring home win, Houston to finally get off the schneid in Tennessee, and upsets by the Saints, Jets, Packers and Bills.
- Bobby KownackScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 90Kownack picked all Week 5 games with scores, including the Browns winning at the Jets to reach 4-1, the Broncos handling the Chargers, and the Giants upsetting Washington.
- Pat FitzmauriceScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Fitzmaurice predicted a 34-31 Bills win over the Rams, suggested the Packers would again blow a lead to the Bears, and said Drake Maye is a high-end to mid-range QB1 going forward.
- Derek BrownScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Brown picked the Browns to beat the Jets and the Bears to beat the Packers, forecast a 31-28 Bills win over the Rams on Monday night, and made several Week 5 availability calls — doubting Tee Higgins, Lamar Jackson, Stefon Diggs and Terry McLaurin while expecting Ja'Marr Chase to play.
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Dajani lays out projected final scores for every Week 5 game he covers, including Jacksonville handling Philadelphia, Pittsburgh bouncing back at home against Indianapolis, and Cleveland winning outright in New York.